Rushing Yards 0.5 · Underdog
+34.2%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 51.9%
- Fair Under
- 48.1%
- Break-even
- 17.7%
- Books' line
- 0.5
Fair odds: median of 3 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 0.5.
NFL pick'em edges this week
BeatVig lines up every pick'em app it tracks on one board: PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, ParlayPlay and any other app posting lines. NFL lines cover the week of games, from Thursday night through Monday, so a line can sit for days while injury news moves the books around it. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. The edge is that probability minus the pick's break-even: the pick's own price where the app prices each pick (Underdog), or PrizePicks' 2-pick Power Play rate. It's an estimate, not a guarantee. Posted now: passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and receptions.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5 · Underdog
+32.5%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 65.8%
- Fair Under
- 34.2%
- Break-even
- 33.3%
- Books' line
- 2.5
Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 1.5.
Line gap: 1 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price
Rushing Yards 0.5 · Underdog
+32.0%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 49.2%
- Fair Under
- 50.8%
- Break-even
- 17.2%
- Books' line
- 0.5
Fair odds: median of 3 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 0.5.
14,789 more lines behind Premium
Free accounts see a 3-line sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every pick'em line, every app, with filters.
Go PremiumPick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.
FAQ
Which pick'em app has the most NFL edges right now?
Underdog, with 42 NFL lines clearing its 2-pick break-even at the moment. That changes as lines move.
What hit rate does an NFL pick'em pick need?
On a 2-pick entry: PrizePicks 57.7%. Underdog prices each pick, so each pick needs the hit rate its own price implies. Apps that set multipliers per entry publish no fixed rate.
Which NFL props does this compare?
Any NFL player prop a pick'em app posts that sharp books also price at the same number, most often yardage, receptions and touchdowns.