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Fliff NFL lines vs sharp fair odds

Fliff posts NFL player lines without a published fixed payout table. NFL lines cover the week of games, from Thursday night through Monday, so a line can sit for days while injury news moves the books around it. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. With no fixed break-even to subtract, this page shows fair probabilities and line gaps, not edges. Posted now: passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and receptions.

Passing Rushing Yards 266.5 · Fliff

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No edge

Fair Over
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Fair Under
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Break-even
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Books' line
280.5

No sharp price at 266.5, so no edge.

Line gap: 14 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price

Passing Rushing Yards 267.5 · Fliff

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No edge

Fair Over
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Fair Under
—
Break-even
—
Books' line
280.5

No sharp price at 267.5, so no edge.

Line gap: 13 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price

Passing Rushing Yards 268.5 · Fliff

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No edge

Fair Over
—
Fair Under
—
Break-even
—
Books' line
280.5

No sharp price at 268.5, so no edge.

Line gap: 12 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price

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Pick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.

FAQ

How do Fliff NFL edges work?

Fliff posts NFL player lines without a published fixed payout table.

What hit rate does a Fliff NFL pick need to break even?

Fliff sets multipliers per entry, so there is no fixed break-even rate.

Which NFL props does this compare?

Any NFL player prop a pick'em app posts that sharp books also price at the same number, most often yardage, receptions and touchdowns.