Every market we price, across sportsbooks and prediction markets.
NBA prop hit rates: last 5, 10 and 20 games →
Novig
-12255%55¢
vs
Tonybet
-15460.6%61¢
· +5.67pp vs Tonybet
fair 60.2% · edge +5.22pp (worst case +4.2pp) — this edge is 5.22 percentage points under the de-vigging method BeatVig publishes and as little as 4.2 under the least flattering of the 4 methods that fit Bovada's own two-sided prices
ProphetX
+11147.4%47¢
vs
FanDuel
-10851.9%52¢
· +4.53pp vs FanDuel
fair 52.1% · edge +4.23pp (worst case +4.22pp) — this edge is 4.23 percentage points under the de-vigging method BeatVig publishes and as little as 4.22 under the least flattering of the 4 methods that fit Pinnacle's own two-sided prices
Free accounts see a 3-edge sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks the full board, every sport, every venue.
Go PremiumNBA prop line movement: steam moves and which book moved first →
This page lists every NBA prop market BeatVig is pricing right now, 12 markets today, each checked against sportsbooks and against Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig. NBA props post for one night at a time and can move fast on late injury and rest news. The markets we price most often include points, rebounds, assists and combo props like points + rebounds + assists. The edges below are the ones where a prediction market is currently beating every sportsbook on the same bet.
12 markets right now, including points, rebounds, assists and combo props like points + rebounds + assists — Points has the most players priced, 59 right now.
NBA lines post the same day as tip-off and can move sharply in the hour before the game on rest and starting-lineup news.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig, most often on NBA's points, rebounds and assists lines for that night's slate.
Both. The market directory above lists every NBA market we price; the board under "Biggest edges right now" ranks the live rows where a prediction market is currently beating every sportsbook on the same bet, biggest edge first.
The market directory and the top edges shown here are free. Filtering a market board by book and seeing every row rather than a sample is a BeatVig Premium feature.
