Rushing Yards under 69.5
Projection 0.0
-30075%75¢
Kalshi
Early line — projections still moving
Kalshi NFL picks
Ranked by how far our projection sits from the Kalshi price.
Early line — projections still moving
Receiving Yards under 29.5
Projection 15.7
-23370%70¢
Kalshi
Early line — projections still moving
385 more Kalshi picks behind Premium
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Go PremiumHow Kalshi prices NFL
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange. Every contract settles at $1 or $0, so a 42¢ quote is a 42% implied probability with no sportsbook margin layered on top.
Kalshi charges a per-contract trading fee instead of building a margin into the line. The fee is a curve, not a flat rake: it peaks at roughly 1.75¢ on a contract priced near 50¢ and shrinks toward zero at both extremes, and maker fees are a quarter of taker fees.
Kalshi lists player markets as "X or more" yes/no contracts rather than as an over/under line, so BeatVig converts each contract to the equivalent over price before comparing it to a sportsbook number.
Each pick above names the market, the line and the Kalshi price beside our projection for that stat, so you can see the gap before you take it. Markets we grade for NFL: anytime touchdown, extra points made, field goals made, kicking points, passing touchdowns, passing yards, receiving touchdowns, receiving yards, receptions, rushing receiving yards, rushing touchdowns, rushing yards, and sacks.
In short
Kalshi prices NFL player props as yes-or-no contracts rather than as an over/under line, so BeatVig converts each one to the equivalent over price before ranking it against our own projection. Markets we grade for NFL on Kalshi: anytime touchdown, extra points made, field goals made, kicking points, passing touchdowns, passing yards, receiving touchdowns, receiving yards, receptions, rushing receiving yards, rushing touchdowns, rushing yards, and sacks. This board is live and rebuilds through the day as Kalshi's NFL prices move.
Kalshi NFL odds — FAQ
What are Kalshi's NFL odds right now?
The NFL props above, in order: each one is a live Kalshi price our projection disagrees with, biggest gap first. The board rebuilds from Kalshi's live NFL prices through the day.
Which NFL markets does Kalshi price on BeatVig?
Kalshi NFL markets graded on BeatVig: anytime touchdown, extra points made, field goals made, kicking points, passing touchdowns, passing yards, receiving touchdowns, receiving yards, receptions, rushing receiving yards, rushing touchdowns, rushing yards, and sacks. Kalshi lists each as a yes-or-no contract rather than an over/under line.
How is a Kalshi NFL contract priced differently from a sportsbook line?
A Kalshi NFL contract settles at $1 or $0, so its price is already close to an implied probability. A sportsbook instead sets a NFL line and builds its margin into both sides of it. BeatVig converts the Kalshi contract to the equivalent over price before comparing the two.
What does Kalshi charge on NFL props?
Kalshi charges a per-contract trading fee instead of building a margin into the line. The fee is a curve, not a flat rake: it peaks at roughly 1.75¢ on a contract priced near 50¢ and shrinks toward zero at both extremes, and maker fees are a quarter of taker fees.