Kalshi
-669 vs
Hardrock
-2500
edge
Sportsbook
Every NFL player prop where a prediction market is currently offering the same outcome at a better de-vigged price than the best DraftKings number.
The DraftKings sportsbook sets the line, prices both sides with its margin included, and takes the other side of your bet itself. DraftKings Predictions is a separate, CFTC-regulated product with its own pricing and its own state list.
DraftKings' margin is inside the price. You pay it on every bet you place, whether that bet wins or loses.
Each card below names the market, the line and both prices, so you can see the gap before you take it.
Where DraftKings is the better number right now.
Kalshi
-669 vs
Hardrock
-2500
edge
Kalshi
-567 vs
Hardrock
-1600
edge
Kalshi
-614 vs
Hardrock
-1400
edge
Kalshi
-614 vs
Hardrock
-1400
edge
Kalshi
-317 vs
Hardrock
-500
edge
Kalshi
-488 vs
Hardrock
-900
edge
Kalshi
+1011 vs
Hardrock
+525
edge
Kalshi
-669 vs
Hardrock
-1500
edge
Kalshi
+400 vs
Hardrock
+275
edge
Kalshi
-400 vs
Hardrock
-650
edge
Kalshi
-317 vs
Hardrock
-475
edge
Kalshi
-1150 vs
Hardrock
-6000
edge
Kalshi
-669 vs
Hardrock
-1400
edge
Kalshi
+317 vs
Hardrock
+230
edge
Kalshi
-614 vs
Hardrock
-1200
edge
Kalshi
+900 vs
Hardrock
+525
edge
Kalshi
+1567 vs
Hardrock
+750
edge
Kalshi
-163 vs
Hardrock
-210
edge
Kalshi
-733 vs
Hardrock
-1500
edge
Kalshi
-156 vs
Hardrock
-200
edge
Kalshi
-426 vs
Hardrock
-650
edge
Kalshi
-376 vs
Hardrock
-550
edge
Kalshi
-100 vs
Hardrock
-125
edge
Kalshi
-186 vs
Hardrock
-240
edge
Kalshi
-456 vs
Hardrock
-700
edge
Kalshi
-245 vs
Hardrock
-325
edge
Kalshi
-733 vs
Hardrock
-1400
edge
Kalshi
-355 vs
Hardrock
-500
edge
Kalshi
+1011 vs
Hardrock
+600
edge
Kalshi
+488 vs
Hardrock
+350
edge
Kalshi
-156 vs
Hardrock
-195
edge
Kalshi
-300 vs
Hardrock
-400
edge
Kalshi
-567 vs
Hardrock
-900
edge
Kalshi
+900 vs
Hardrock
+575
edge
Kalshi
-335 vs
Hardrock
-450
edge
Kalshi
-1150 vs
Hardrock
-3000
edge
Kalshi
-426 vs
Hardrock
-600
edge
Kalshi
+133 vs
Hardrock
+110
edge
Kalshi
-669 vs
Hardrock
-1100
edge
Kalshi
-669 vs
Hardrock
-1100
edge
Kalshi
-400 vs
Hardrock
-550
edge
Kalshi
-108 vs
Hardrock
-130
edge
Kalshi
-1329 vs
Hardrock
-4000
edge
Kalshi
+426 vs
Hardrock
+325
edge
Kalshi
+426 vs
Hardrock
+325
edge
Kalshi
+194 vs
Hardrock
+160
edge
Kalshi
+809 vs
Hardrock
+550
edge
Kalshi
+809 vs
Hardrock
+550
edge
Kalshi
-376 vs
Hardrock
-500
edge
Kalshi
-376 vs
Hardrock
-500
edge
Yes, DraftKings prices a broad NFL player-prop menu. The board above shows the props where a prediction market is currently beating the best NFL book price on the same outcome.
Sometimes. DraftKings prices a far wider prop menu than the exchanges do, but on the props both price, an exchange is frequently the cheaper side of the same outcome.
DraftKings' margin is inside the price. You pay it on every bet you place, whether that bet wins or loses.
Convert both quotes to the implied probability of the same outcome, which puts a contract price and an American price in the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want.