Projection 1.0
+178
Novig
Firming up
Prediction market
Every MLB prop where our projection disagrees with the Novig price, biggest gap first.
Ranked by how far our projection sits from the Novig price.
Projection 1.0
+178
Novig
Firming up
Projection 0.9
+190
Novig
Close to lock
Projection 1.0
+163
Novig
Firming up
Free accounts see a 3-pick sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every pick, every sport, every venue.
Go PremiumNovig is a peer-to-peer exchange wearing a sportsbook interface: your price comes from another user rather than from a trading desk that sets a margin.
Novig takes a small per-contract fee from the taker and pays makers a rebate rather than baking vig into the line. It is low-fee rather than fee-free, and when Novig steps in as counterparty in a thin market a spread comes back into the price.
Novig covers the mainstream major-league slate with real depth and thins out quickly past it.
Each pick above names the market, the line and the Novig price beside our projection for that stat, so you can see the gap before you take it. Markets we grade for MLB: hits, home runs, pitcher outs, strikeouts, rbis, runs scored, and total bases.
The MLB props above, in order: each one is a Novig price that sits furthest from our own projection of that stat, biggest gap first. The list is rebuilt from live Novig prices, so it changes through the day.
Each MLB prop we project is turned into a fair probability for the over and the under, and that is compared with what Novig is charging for the same outcome. The props where Novig's price implies a probability further from ours than a venue's cost can explain are the ones listed, best first. No pick is a prediction of a result.
Novig covers the mainstream major-league slate with real depth and thins out quickly past it.
Novig takes a small per-contract fee from the taker and pays makers a rebate rather than baking vig into the line. It is low-fee rather than fee-free, and when Novig steps in as counterparty in a thin market a spread comes back into the price.
Convert both quotes to the implied probability of the same outcome, which puts a contract price and an American price in the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want — that is exactly what the comparison page linked above does on every prop both venues price.