Kalshi
+257 vs
Hardrock
+185
edge
Sportsbook
Every MLB player prop where a prediction market is currently offering the same outcome at a better de-vigged price than the best DraftKings number.
The DraftKings sportsbook sets the line, prices both sides with its margin included, and takes the other side of your bet itself. DraftKings Predictions is a separate, CFTC-regulated product with its own pricing and its own state list.
DraftKings' margin is inside the price. You pay it on every bet you place, whether that bet wins or loses.
Each card below names the market, the line and both prices, so you can see the gap before you take it.
Where DraftKings is the better number right now.
Kalshi
+257 vs
Hardrock
+185
edge
ProphetX
-123 vs
Fanatics
-160
edge
Kalshi
+669 vs
Hardrock
+425
edge
ProphetX
-134 vs
Smarkets
-172
edge
ProphetX
-109 vs
DraftKings
-135
edge
Kalshi
+669 vs
Hardrock
+450
edge
Kalshi
-178 vs
Polymarket Us
-223
edge
Kalshi
+567 vs
Hardrock
+400
edge
Kalshi
+400 vs
Hardrock
+300
edge
Kalshi
+809 vs
Hardrock
+525
edge
Kalshi
+1329 vs
Hardrock
+750
edge
Kalshi
-1011 vs
Hardrock
-2200
edge
Kalshi
+426 vs
Hardrock
+325
edge
Kalshi
+426 vs
Hardrock
+325
edge
ProphetX
+260 vs
Fanatics
+210
edge
Kalshi
+900 vs
Hardrock
+600
edge
Kalshi
+186 vs
Hardrock
+155
edge
ProphetX
+166 vs
Fanatics
+140
edge
Kalshi
+525 vs
Hardrock
+400
edge
ProphetX
-111 vs
Betmgm
-130
edge
ProphetX
+101 vs
Hardrock
-115
edge
Novig
+441 vs
Hardrock
+350
edge
Kalshi
-194 vs
Betrivers
-230
edge
ProphetX
+200 vs
Onexbet
+170
edge
Kalshi
+335 vs
Hardrock
+275
edge
Kalshi
+335 vs
Hardrock
+275
edge
Kalshi
+335 vs
Hardrock
+275
edge
Kalshi
+335 vs
Hardrock
+275
edge
ProphetX
-111 vs
Smarkets
-128
edge
Kalshi
+1329 vs
Hardrock
+850
edge
Kalshi
+1329 vs
Hardrock
+850
edge
Kalshi
+400 vs
Hardrock
+325
edge
Kalshi
+223 vs
Hardrock
+190
edge
Kalshi
+1011 vs
Hardrock
+700
edge
Kalshi
+203 vs
Onexbet
+175
edge
Kalshi
-1900 vs
Hardrock
-6000
edge
Kalshi
+900 vs
Hardrock
+650
edge
ProphetX
-105 vs
Betmgm
-120
edge
Novig
+900 vs
Hardrock
+650
edge
Kalshi
+900 vs
Hardrock
+650
edge
Kalshi
+809 vs
Hardrock
+600
edge
ProphetX
-148 vs
Fanatics
-170
edge
Kalshi
+178 vs
Hardrock
+155
edge
Kalshi
+178 vs
Hardrock
+155
edge
Kalshi
+257 vs
DraftKings
+220
edge
Kalshi
+426 vs
Hardrock
+350
edge
Kalshi
+426 vs
Hardrock
+350
edge
Novig
+264 vs
DraftKings
+226
edge
ProphetX
-116 vs
DraftKings
-132
edge
ProphetX
-174 vs
Fanatics
-200
edge
Yes, DraftKings prices a broad MLB player-prop menu. The board above shows the props where a prediction market is currently beating the best MLB book price on the same outcome.
Sometimes. DraftKings prices a far wider prop menu than the exchanges do, but on the props both price, an exchange is frequently the cheaper side of the same outcome.
DraftKings' margin is inside the price. You pay it on every bet you place, whether that bet wins or loses.
Convert both quotes to the implied probability of the same outcome, which puts a contract price and an American price in the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want.