Measured from the live board at 4:55 PM EDT. This is a snapshot of prices on the board right now, not an average over any period of time.
ProphetX by sport
Quoted, best-priced, and share, per sport.
| Sport | Quoted | Best price | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | Too few live prices to measure yet. | ||
| MLB | 616 | 130 | 21.1% |
| NFL | 960 | 490 | 51.0% |
Cost
Across 891 two-sided player-prop markets ProphetX currently prices, the two sides add up to about 7.59% above a fair 100% — that gap is ProphetX's hold. One-sided markets are excluded from this figure because there is no second price to add against the first.
ProphetX charges commission on net winnings rather than embedding a margin, so the cost is explicit and only applies when you win.
What ProphetX quotes
ProphetX is currently quoting 10 markets across 2 sports: hits, home runs, passing touchdowns, passing yards, rbis, receiving yards, receptions, rushing yards, strikeouts, and total bases.
ProphetX vs DraftKings
ProphetX and DraftKings do not currently overlap on enough live props to compare head to head.
What ProphetX is
ProphetX is a betting exchange: users post the prices and you take the other side of someone else's bet instead of accepting a desk's number.
ProphetX is live in a limited set of states and its liquidity concentrates on the biggest games and the most-traded player markets.
ProphetX edges come from another user leaving a stale offer up, so they are larger than an exchange-wide mispricing and they disappear faster.
ProphetX — FAQ
How often does ProphetX have the best price?
ProphetX has matched or beaten every other venue on 39.3% of the 1576 player-prop outcomes it is currently quoting.
What is ProphetX's hold on player props?
Across 891 two-sided player-prop markets, ProphetX's two prices add up to about 7.59% above fair value.
Which markets does ProphetX price?
ProphetX is currently quoting hits, home runs, passing touchdowns, passing yards, rbis, receiving yards, receptions, rushing yards, strikeouts, and total bases across 2 sports.
Is ProphetX cheaper than a prediction market?
ProphetX is itself a prediction market, so the comparison worth checking is against a sportsbook — see the DraftKings comparison above.
How does BeatVig measure this?
For every player-prop outcome with at least three venues quoting it, BeatVig records which venue's price matched or beat every other venue's. The share above is that count divided by every outcome ProphetX is quoting, recomputed from the live board on every request.