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Fliff MLB lines vs sharp fair odds

Fliff posts MLB player lines without a published fixed payout table. MLB lines post game by game and depend on the confirmed lineup and the starting pitcher, so they tend to settle in the hours before first pitch. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. With no fixed break-even to subtract, this page shows fair probabilities and line gaps, not edges. Posted now: strikeouts, hits, total bases, and hits + runs + rbis.

Total Bases 0.5 · Fliff

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No edge

Fair Over
67.6%
Fair Under
32.4%
Break-even
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Books' line
1.5

Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 0.5.

Line gap: 1 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price

Hits 0.5 · Fliff

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No edge

Fair Over
50.5%
Fair Under
49.5%
Break-even
—
Books' line
0.5

Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.

Every book's price

Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 · Fliff

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No edge

Fair Over
57.5%
Fair Under
42.5%
Break-even
—
Books' line
0.5

Fair odds: Bovada, de-vigged, at 0.5.

Every book's price

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Pick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.

FAQ

How do Fliff MLB edges work?

Fliff posts MLB player lines without a published fixed payout table.

What hit rate does a Fliff MLB pick need to break even?

Fliff sets multipliers per entry, so there is no fixed break-even rate.

Are MLB pitcher strikeout props included?

Yes, along with hitter props such as hits, total bases and hits + runs + RBIs, whenever sportsbooks quote the same line as the app.