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ParlayPlay MLB More/Less lines vs fair odds

ParlayPlay calculates each More/Less payout from the players and lines in the entry, from 1.75x up to 1000x, with an Insured option when every pick sits between 1.4x and 5x. MLB lines post game by game and depend on the confirmed lineup and the starting pitcher, so they tend to settle in the hours before first pitch. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. With no fixed break-even to subtract, this page shows fair probabilities and line gaps, not edges. Posted now: strikeouts, hits, total bases, and hits + runs + rbis.

Total Bases 1.5 · ParlayPlay

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No edge

Fair Over
38.3%
Fair Under
61.7%
Break-even
—
Books' line
0.5

Fair odds: Kalshi, de-vigged, at 1.5.

Line gap: 1 above the books, which favors the Under. Every book's price

Hits 0.5 · ParlayPlay

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No edge

Fair Over
67.5%
Fair Under
32.6%
Break-even
—
Books' line
1.5

Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.

Line gap: 1 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price

Total Bases 1.5 · ParlayPlay

—

No edge

Fair Over
36.7%
Fair Under
63.3%
Break-even
—
Books' line
0.5

Fair odds: Bovada, de-vigged, at 1.5.

Line gap: 1 above the books, which favors the Under. Every book's price

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Pick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.

FAQ

Why is there no break-even for ParlayPlay MLB picks?

ParlayPlay prices each entry from the picks in it, so no published table gives a per-pick break-even. Compare the fair probability with the multiplier the app shows.

What hit rate does a ParlayPlay MLB pick need to break even?

ParlayPlay sets multipliers per entry, so there is no fixed break-even rate.

Are MLB pitcher strikeout props included?

Yes, along with hitter props such as hits, total bases and hits + runs + RBIs, whenever sportsbooks quote the same line as the app.