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MLB pick'em edges today

BeatVig lines up every pick'em app it tracks on one board: PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, ParlayPlay and any other app posting lines. MLB lines post game by game and depend on the confirmed lineup and the starting pitcher, so they tend to settle in the hours before first pitch. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. The edge is that probability minus the pick's break-even: the pick's own price where the app prices each pick (Underdog), or PrizePicks' 2-pick Power Play rate. It's an estimate, not a guarantee. Posted now: strikeouts, hits, total bases, and hits + runs + rbis.

Hits 0.5 · Underdog

+1.6%

Edge, Under

Fair Over
56.4%
Fair Under
43.6%
Break-even
42.0%
Books' line
0.5

Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.

Every book's price

Hits 0.5 · Underdog

+1.0%

Edge, Over

Fair Over
46.6%
Fair Under
53.4%
Break-even
45.7%
Books' line
0.5

Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.

Every book's price

RBIs 0.5 · Underdog

+0.9%

Edge, Over

Fair Over
22.9%
Fair Under
77.1%
Break-even
22.1%
Books' line
0.5

Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.

Every book's price

852 more lines behind Premium

Free accounts see a 3-line sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every pick'em line, every app, with filters.

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Pick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.

FAQ

Which pick'em app has the most MLB edges right now?

Underdog, with 14 MLB lines clearing its 2-pick break-even at the moment. That changes as lines move.

What hit rate does an MLB pick'em pick need?

On a 2-pick entry: PrizePicks 57.7%. Underdog prices each pick, so each pick needs the hit rate its own price implies. Apps that set multipliers per entry publish no fixed rate.

Are MLB pitcher strikeout props included?

Yes, along with hitter props such as hits, total bases and hits + runs + RBIs, whenever sportsbooks quote the same line as the app.