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NBA pick'em edges tonight

BeatVig lines up every pick'em app it tracks on one board: PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, ParlayPlay and any other app posting lines. NBA lines post for one night at a time and move fast on late injury and rest news, so a gap between an app and the books can close within minutes of tip-off. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. The edge is that probability minus the pick's break-even: the pick's own price where the app prices each pick (Underdog), or PrizePicks' 2-pick Power Play rate. It's an estimate, not a guarantee. Posted now: points, rebounds, assists, and threes.

Assists 5.5 · Underdog

+0.2%

Edge, Over

Fair Over
52.1%
Fair Under
47.9%
Break-even
51.9%
Books' line
5.5

Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 5.5.

Every book's price

Rebounds 4.5 · Underdog

-1.0%

Edge, Under

Fair Over
48.2%
Fair Under
51.8%
Break-even
52.8%
Books' line
4.5

Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 4.5.

Every book's price

Points 9.5 · Underdog

-1.1%

Edge, Over

Fair Over
49.4%
Fair Under
50.6%
Break-even
50.5%
Books' line
9.5

Fair odds: median of 4 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 9.5.

Every book's price

890 more lines behind Premium

Free accounts see a 3-line sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every pick'em line, every app, with filters.

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Pick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.

FAQ

Which pick'em app has the most NBA edges right now?

Underdog, with 4 NBA lines clearing its 2-pick break-even at the moment. That changes as lines move.

What hit rate does an NBA pick'em pick need?

On a 2-pick entry: PrizePicks 57.7%. Underdog prices each pick, so each pick needs the hit rate its own price implies. Apps that set multipliers per entry publish no fixed rate.

Do NBA combo props like points + rebounds + assists count?

Yes. A combo line gets a fair probability when sportsbooks quote the same combo at the same number, the same as single-stat points, rebounds or assists lines.