+0.2%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 52.1%
- Fair Under
- 47.9%
- Break-even
- 51.9%
- Books' line
- 5.5
Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 5.5.
BeatVig lines up every pick'em app it tracks on one board: PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, ParlayPlay and any other app posting lines. NBA lines post for one night at a time and move fast on late injury and rest news, so a gap between an app and the books can close within minutes of tip-off. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. The edge is that probability minus the pick's break-even: the pick's own price where the app prices each pick (Underdog), or PrizePicks' 2-pick Power Play rate. It's an estimate, not a guarantee. Posted now: points, rebounds, assists, and threes.
+0.2%
Edge, Over
Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 5.5.
-1.0%
Edge, Under
Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 4.5.
-1.1%
Edge, Over
Fair odds: median of 4 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 9.5.
Free accounts see a 3-line sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every pick'em line, every app, with filters.
Go PremiumPick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.
Underdog, with 4 NBA lines clearing its 2-pick break-even at the moment. That changes as lines move.
On a 2-pick entry: PrizePicks 57.7%. Underdog prices each pick, so each pick needs the hit rate its own price implies. Apps that set multipliers per entry publish no fixed rate.
Yes. A combo line gets a fair probability when sportsbooks quote the same combo at the same number, the same as single-stat points, rebounds or assists lines.