Receiving Yards under 49.5
Projection 27.9
-28574%74¢
Polymarket
Firming up
Measured from the live board at 10:00 AM EST. This is a snapshot of prices on the board right now, not an average over any period of time.
Polymarket by sport
Quoted, best-priced, and share, per sport.
| Sport | Quoted | Best price | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 403 | 166 | 41.2% |
| NBA | Too few live prices to measure yet. | ||
| MLB | Too few live prices to measure yet. | ||
Cost
Across 169 two-sided player-prop markets Polymarket currently prices, the two sides add up to about 2.02% above a fair 100% — that gap is Polymarket's bid/ask spread, not a fee: Polymarket charges its cost separately, on top of this, as described below. One-sided markets are excluded from this figure because there is no second price to add against the first.
Polymarket's taker fee is a fraction of a percent, which makes its headline quote very close to the all-in cost and often the cheapest of the exchanges in the middle of the price range.
Published fee schedule: Polymarket sports theta, raised 0.03 -> 0.05 Jul 2026.
Polymarket's legal status
Polymarket operates through a CFTC-regulated exchange rather than a state sports-betting license, so its footprint differs from a sportsbook's and depends on the venue rather than on a state-by-state list. Check Polymarket's own site for where it currently operates before trading there.
What Polymarket quotes
Polymarket is currently quoting 10 markets across 1 sport: anytime touchdown, first touchdown, passing completions, passing touchdowns, passing yards, receiving yards, receptions, rushing yards, touchdowns 2plus, and touchdowns 3plus.
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Kalshi prices more of the same props as Polymarket than any other venue on the board right now — 221 props quoted by both. That is why this comparison is against Kalshi and not some other venue; it is re-chosen from the live board on every request.
Across the 221 props both venues price right now, Polymarket has the cheaper number on 40 and Kalshi has the cheaper number on 84; the rest are priced identically at both. That is 18% to Polymarket.
Best bets at Polymarket right now
Every prop where our projection sits furthest from the Polymarket price, across every sport Polymarket is pricing. Biggest gap first.
Rushing Yards under 29.5
Projection 19.5
-20367%67¢
Polymarket
Firming up
Receiving Yards under 49.5
Projection 27.0
-31776%76¢
Polymarket
Firming up
36 more Polymarket bets behind Premium
Free accounts see a 3-bet sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every bet, every sport, every venue.
Go Premium39 bets ranked from the live Polymarket board at 10:00 AM EST, across 1 sport. A snapshot of the board right now, not a record over any period of time.
What Polymarket is
Polymarket is an order-book market: the price is whatever two traders agree on, and a share that settles at $1 quotes as a probability directly.
Polymarket runs deep liquidity on headline games and much thinner books on the rest of the slate, and its player-prop coverage is still filling in — check the size behind a quote, not just the quote.
Polymarket's edges tend to be largest on games the order book is actively trading and unreliable on markets where almost nobody is quoting.
In short
Polymarket is a prediction market BeatVig prices across 1 sport. Polymarket has matched or beaten every other venue's price on 166 of the 403 live player-prop outcomes it is currently quoting — 41.2%. Its closest comparison on the board right now is Kalshi, the venue pricing the most of the same props. This page measures Polymarket's pricing against the rest of the market; BeatVig takes no affiliate money and does not recommend using it.
Polymarket — FAQ
How often does Polymarket have the best price?
Polymarket has matched or beaten every other venue's price on 166 of the 403 live player-prop outcomes it is currently quoting — 41.2%.
What is Polymarket's spread on player props?
Across 169 two-sided player-prop markets, Polymarket's two prices add up to about 2.02% above fair value — its bid/ask spread; Polymarket charges its fee separately, on top of this.
Which markets does Polymarket price?
Polymarket is currently quoting anytime touchdown, first touchdown, passing completions, passing touchdowns, passing yards, receiving yards, receptions, rushing yards, touchdowns 2plus, and touchdowns 3plus across 1 sport.
Which venue is Polymarket closest to on the same props?
Kalshi. It prices 221 of the same player props as Polymarket right now, more than any other venue on the board, which is why the head-to-head above is against it. Polymarket has the cheaper number on 40 of them and Kalshi on 84.
What are the best bets at Polymarket right now?
39 props on Polymarket's board sit far enough from our own projection of the stat to be worth listing, biggest gap first in the board above. Only markets we project can appear there, and the list is rebuilt from live Polymarket prices on every request rather than published once a day.
How does BeatVig measure this?
For every player-prop outcome with at least three venues quoting it, BeatVig records which venue's price matched or beat every other venue's. The share above is that count divided by every outcome Polymarket is quoting, recomputed from the live board on every request.
Polymarket picks by sport
Compare Polymarket with every venue
Holding both sides of a bet with Polymarket
A price comparison asks which venue is cheaper. The other question is whether the two sides of one bet can be backed at Polymarket and somewhere else at the same time for less than a certainty — which happens, rarely, and decays in minutes.