Assists 5.5 · Underdog
+0.2%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 52.1%
- Fair Under
- 47.9%
- Break-even
- 51.9%
- Books' line
- 5.5
Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 5.5.
Underdog NBA Higher/Lower edges tonight
Underdog prices each Higher/Lower pick on its own: a pick carries its own payout multiplier (1x on an even pick, less on a favourite, more on a longshot), and an entry pays the Standard or Flex table scaled by its picks' multipliers. NBA lines post for one night at a time and move fast on late injury and rest news, so a gap between an app and the books can close within minutes of tip-off. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. The edge is that probability minus the break-even implied by the pick's own price, so a discounted pick has to clear a higher bar. It's an estimate, not a guarantee. Posted now: points, rebounds, assists, and threes.
Rebounds 4.5 · Underdog
-1.0%
Edge, Under
- Fair Over
- 48.2%
- Fair Under
- 51.8%
- Break-even
- 52.8%
- Books' line
- 4.5
Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 4.5.
Points 9.5 · Underdog
-1.1%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 49.4%
- Fair Under
- 50.6%
- Break-even
- 50.5%
- Books' line
- 9.5
Fair odds: median of 4 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 9.5.
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Go PremiumPick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.
FAQ
How is an Underdog NBA edge measured?
Against the pick's own price. Each Underdog pick carries a per-pick multiplier, quoted as American odds, so its break-even is that price's implied probability, not one flat rate for every pick. A pick with no per-pick price gets no edge.
What hit rate does an Underdog NBA pick need to break even?
It depends on the pick. Underdog gives each pick its own multiplier, so the break-even is the probability that pick's price implies, not one rate for the board.
Do NBA combo props like points + rebounds + assists count?
Yes. A combo line gets a fair probability when sportsbooks quote the same combo at the same number, the same as single-stat points, rebounds or assists lines.