Hits 0.5 · Underdog
+1.6%
Edge, Under
- Fair Over
- 56.4%
- Fair Under
- 43.6%
- Break-even
- 42.0%
- Books' line
- 0.5
Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.
Underdog MLB Higher/Lower edges today
Underdog prices each Higher/Lower pick on its own: a pick carries its own payout multiplier (1x on an even pick, less on a favourite, more on a longshot), and an entry pays the Standard or Flex table scaled by its picks' multipliers. MLB lines post game by game and depend on the confirmed lineup and the starting pitcher, so they tend to settle in the hours before first pitch. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. The edge is that probability minus the break-even implied by the pick's own price, so a discounted pick has to clear a higher bar. It's an estimate, not a guarantee. Posted now: strikeouts, hits, total bases, and hits + runs + rbis.
Hits 0.5 · Underdog
+1.0%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 46.6%
- Fair Under
- 53.4%
- Break-even
- 45.7%
- Books' line
- 0.5
Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.
RBIs 0.5 · Underdog
+0.9%
Edge, Over
- Fair Over
- 22.9%
- Fair Under
- 77.1%
- Break-even
- 22.1%
- Books' line
- 0.5
Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.
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Go PremiumPick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.
FAQ
How is an Underdog MLB edge measured?
Against the pick's own price. Each Underdog pick carries a per-pick multiplier, quoted as American odds, so its break-even is that price's implied probability, not one flat rate for every pick. A pick with no per-pick price gets no edge.
What hit rate does an Underdog MLB pick need to break even?
It depends on the pick. Underdog gives each pick its own multiplier, so the break-even is the probability that pick's price implies, not one rate for the board.
Are MLB pitcher strikeout props included?
Yes, along with hitter props such as hits, total bases and hits + runs + RBIs, whenever sportsbooks quote the same line as the app.