Total Bases 0.5 · Sleeper
—
No edge
- Fair Over
- 67.6%
- Fair Under
- 32.4%
- Break-even
- —
- Books' line
- 1.5
Fair odds: median of 2 sportsbooks, de-vigged, at 0.5.
Line gap: 1 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price
Sleeper MLB picks with fair odds by line
Sleeper sets a payout multiplier for each Over/Under pick, in Max contests that need every pick and Flex contests that can pay with a miss, so there is no fixed payout table to work back from. MLB lines post game by game and depend on the confirmed lineup and the starting pitcher, so they tend to settle in the hours before first pitch. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. With no fixed break-even to subtract, this page shows fair probabilities and line gaps, not edges. Posted now: strikeouts, hits, total bases, and hits + runs + rbis.
Hits 0.5 · Sleeper
—
No edge
- Fair Over
- 50.5%
- Fair Under
- 49.5%
- Break-even
- —
- Books' line
- 0.5
Fair odds: Smarkets, de-vigged, at 0.5.
Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 · Sleeper
—
No edge
- Fair Over
- 57.5%
- Fair Under
- 42.5%
- Break-even
- —
- Books' line
- 0.5
Fair odds: Bovada, de-vigged, at 0.5.
129 more lines behind Premium
Free accounts see a 3-line sample. Premium unlocks every pick'em line, every app, with filters.
Go PremiumPick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.
FAQ
Why do Sleeper MLB picks show no edge number?
Sleeper's multiplier changes pick by pick, so there is no single break-even rate to subtract. The fair probability and the line gap are still shown for every line.
What hit rate does a Sleeper MLB pick need to break even?
Sleeper sets multipliers per entry, so there is no fixed break-even rate.
Are MLB pitcher strikeout props included?
Yes, along with hitter props such as hits, total bases and hits + runs + RBIs, whenever sportsbooks quote the same line as the app.