Rushing Receiving Yards 96.5 · Sleeper
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No edge
- Fair Over
- —
- Fair Under
- —
- Break-even
- —
- Books' line
- 84.5
No sharp price at 96.5, so no edge.
Line gap: 12 above the books, which favors the Under. Every book's price
Sleeper NFL picks with fair odds at every line
Sleeper sets a payout multiplier for each Over/Under pick, in Max contests that need every pick and Flex contests that can pay with a miss, so there is no fixed payout table to work back from. NFL lines cover the week of games, from Thursday night through Monday, so a line can sit for days while injury news moves the books around it. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. With no fixed break-even to subtract, this page shows fair probabilities and line gaps, not edges. Posted now: passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and receptions.
Rushing Receiving Yards 95.5 · Sleeper
—
No edge
- Fair Over
- —
- Fair Under
- —
- Break-even
- —
- Books' line
- 84.5
No sharp price at 95.5, so no edge.
Line gap: 11 above the books, which favors the Under. Every book's price
Passing Yards 229.5 · Sleeper
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No edge
- Fair Over
- —
- Fair Under
- —
- Break-even
- —
- Books' line
- 239.5
No sharp price at 229.5, so no edge.
Line gap: 10 below the books, which favors the Over. Every book's price
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Go PremiumPick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.
FAQ
Why do Sleeper NFL picks show no edge number?
Sleeper's multiplier changes pick by pick, so there is no single break-even rate to subtract. The fair probability and the line gap are still shown for every line.
What hit rate does a Sleeper NFL pick need to break even?
Sleeper sets multipliers per entry, so there is no fixed break-even rate.
Which NFL props does this compare?
Any NFL player prop a pick'em app posts that sharp books also price at the same number, most often yardage, receptions and touchdowns.