PrizePicks MLB edges: strikeouts, hits and total bases
PrizePicks pays a fixed multiplier on More/Less entries: a Power Play needs every pick to hit and pays 3x for two picks up to 37.5x for six, while a Flex Play still pays when one or two picks miss. MLB lines post game by game and depend on the confirmed lineup and the starting pitcher, so they tend to settle in the hours before first pitch. Each line is matched to a sharp fair probability at the same number: PropLine's de-vigged price where one exists, or else the de-vigged median of at least two sportsbooks. The edge is that probability minus the 57.7% a 2-pick Power Play at 3x needs per pick. It's an estimate, not a guarantee.
No MLB PrizePicks lines have a sharp price or a line gap to show right now. Lines land here as the apps post them and the books price the same numbers.
Pick'em edges compare a pick'em app's line with a sharp fair probability at the same line, and with the per-pick break-even of the app's published 2-pick payout. They are estimates of value, not guarantees. Lines and payouts change, and an app can pay a different multiplier on a given pick than its base table.
FAQ
How do I read a PrizePicks MLB edge?
It is the fair probability of the better side minus the 57.7% a 2-pick Power Play needs per pick. Flex Plays pay on partial hits, so they have no single per-pick bar.
What hit rate does a PrizePicks MLB pick need to break even?
57.7% per pick on a 2-pick Power Play at 3x, falling to 54.7% on a 6-pick Power Play at 37.5x.
Are MLB pitcher strikeout props included?
Yes, along with hitter props such as hits, total bases and hits + runs + RBIs, whenever sportsbooks quote the same line as the app.