Receptions props & odds
Projection 1.0
+0.8pp vs fair: Polymarket prices the over at +19034.5%34¢ against Courtside's +17536.4%36¢ .
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Brian Thomas Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 34.3% against 36.5% (an edge of -2.2 points) and is now 36.1% against 36.7% (-0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 3:00 PM | 34.3% | 36.5% | -2.2 |
| Nov 2, 4:10 PM | 34.2% | 41.7% | -7.5 |
| Nov 2, 4:20 PM | 37.1% | 39.1% | -2 |
| Nov 2, 4:30 PM | 36.7% | 39.1% | -2.4 |
| Nov 2, 5:00 PM | 37.3% | 38.5% | -1.2 |
| Nov 2, 8:20 PM | 36.5% | 38.5% | -2 |
| Nov 2, 8:30 PM | 36.5% | 37.3% | -0.8 |
| Nov 2, 8:40 PM | 37.3% | 39.8% | -2.5 |
| Nov 2, 9:20 PM | 38.0% | 41.0% | -3 |
| Nov 2, 9:50 PM | 36.3% | 38.8% | -2.5 |
| Nov 2, 10:00 PM | 36.6% | 38.0% | -1.4 |
| Nov 2, 10:10 PM | 35.9% | 41.0% | -5.1 |
| Nov 2, 10:20 PM | 36.0% | 39.4% | -3.4 |
| Nov 2, 10:30 PM | 37.1% | 48.1% | -11 |
| Nov 2, 10:40 PM | 37.1% | 38.5% | -1.4 |
| Nov 2, 11:00 PM | 36.5% | 38.0% | -1.5 |
| Nov 2, 11:10 PM | 36.6% | 38.0% | -1.4 |
| Nov 2, 11:30 PM | 37.1% | 38.7% | -1.6 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM | 37.6% | 37.5% | 0.1 |
| Nov 3, 12:40 AM | 34.8% | 38.0% | -3.2 |
| Nov 3, 12:50 AM | 35.6% | 36.5% | -0.9 |
| Nov 3, 1:00 AM | 35.6% | 38.1% | -2.5 |
| Nov 3, 1:10 AM | 34.0% | 36.5% | -2.5 |
| Nov 3, 5:00 AM | 36.8% | 38.0% | -1.2 |
| Nov 3, 7:00 AM | 36.6% | 36.5% | 0.1 |
| Nov 3, 7:20 AM | 34.0% | 37.0% | -3 |
| Nov 3, 7:30 AM | 33.5% | 37.0% | -3.5 |
| Nov 3, 8:30 AM | 35.9% | 35.7% | 0.2 |
| Nov 3, 10:00 AM | 35.7% | 37.5% | -1.8 |
| Nov 3, 10:10 AM | 37.1% | 34.5% | 2.6 |
| Nov 3, 10:30 AM | 34.3% | 37.0% | -2.7 |
| Nov 3, 10:40 AM | 36.4% | 34.5% | 1.9 |
| Nov 3, 10:50 AM | 36.3% | 34.5% | 1.8 |
| Nov 3, 11:00 AM | 37.1% | 34.5% | 2.6 |
| Nov 3, 11:10 AM | 34.4% | 34.5% | -0.1 |
| Nov 3, 11:20 AM | 35.1% | 34.5% | 0.6 |
| Nov 3, 11:30 AM | 38.7% | 37.3% | 1.4 |
| Nov 3, 6:56 AM | 36.1% | 36.7% | -0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing brian thomas receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 59m ago | ||
| BetMGM | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 57m ago | ||
| Kalshi contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 58m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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In short
Brian Thomas's receptions prop lists the current line and every sportsbook and prediction market's price, so the best number is always visible. Right now the best receptions price for Brian Thomas is +178 at Kalshi.
Brian Thomas Receptions FAQ
What is Brian Thomas's receptions line today?
Brian Thomas's receptions line is 1.5, best priced at +178 on Kalshi.
Where is the best value on Brian Thomas's receptions?
Kalshi currently has the best price on this prop.