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Bo Nix

QB · DEN · team page

KC @ DEN

Week 8 Sun 4:25 PM ET Moneyline KC -10952.2%52¢ Betfair Ex DEN +10848.1%48¢ Novig Spread KC -1.5 +10648.5%49¢ Polymarket DEN +1.5 -10651.5%51¢ Novig Total Over -10451%51¢ Kalshi Under +10249.5%50¢ Betfair Ex

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Selected prop

Passing Yards

Line

o/u 204.5

Over at o/u 204.5

-11252.8%53¢

DraftKings

Under at o/u 204.5

-11252.8%53¢

DraftKings

Projection: 205.8 yds
Consensus: -11653.7%54¢
Range: 43.5–324.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 204.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge +1.3 yds L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43 (63%)

Where to bet

29 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 199.5 -11252.8%53¢ Rebet

EV +0.0% · L10 4/10 · All 27/43

Best Under · any line 174.5 +22530.8%31¢ Rebet

EV +17.6% · L10 4/10 · All 13/43

Line o/u 204.5 · 2 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -11753.9%54¢
Best U: -11152.6%53¢
Hit rate vs 43.5: 43/43

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 43/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11753.9%54¢	-11152.6%53¢

Best O: -10952.2%52¢
Best U: -11753.9%54¢
Hit rate vs 44.5: 43/43

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 43/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-10952.2%52¢	-11753.9%54¢

Best O: -333397.1%97¢
Best U: +38842.5%3¢
Hit rate vs 99.5: 42/43

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 42/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	-333397.1%97¢	+38842.5%3¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Polymarket	———	+20333%33¢

Best O: -190095%95¢
Best U: +12267.5%8¢
Hit rate vs 124.5: 40/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 40/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	+22830.5%30¢
Rebet	———	+12267.5%8¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Polymarket	-190095%95¢	+19434%34¢	95%

Best O: -66086.8%87¢
Best U: +49916.7%17¢
Hit rate vs 149.5: 35/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 16/20 All 35/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	+17836%36¢
ProphetX	-66086.8%87¢	———
Rebet	———	+49916.7%17¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	———	+37621%21¢

Best O: -22769.4%69¢
Best U: +22530.8%31¢
Hit rate vs 174.5: 30/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 13/20 All 30/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	+13342.9%43¢
Rebet	-22769.4%69¢	+22530.8%31¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-25772%72¢	+21232.1%32¢	72%
Polymarket	-27073%73¢	+17836%36¢	73%

Best O: -17563.6%64¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 191.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-17563.6%64¢	———

Best O: -17063%63¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 193.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-17063%63¢	———

Best O: -16562.3%62¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 194.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-16562.3%62¢	———

Best O: ———
Best U: +11047.6%48¢
Hit rate vs 195.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	+11047.6%48¢

Best O: -14559.2%59¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 197.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-14559.2%59¢	———

Best O: -11252.8%53¢
Best U: +11746.1%46¢
Hit rate vs 199.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-14058.3%58¢	———
ProphetX	-15660.9%61¢	———
Rebet	-11252.8%53¢	+11247.2%47¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-12755.9%56¢	+11746.1%46¢	56%
Polymarket	-12755.9%56¢	-10050%50¢	56%

Best O: -13557.4%57¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 200.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-13557.4%57¢	———

Best O: -13858%58¢
Best U: -17663.8%64¢
Hit rate vs 201.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-13858%58¢	-17663.8%64¢

Best O: -13056.5%57¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 202.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-13056.5%57¢	———

Best O: -11152.6%53¢
Best U: -11152.6%53¢
Hit rate vs 203.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11152.6%53¢	———
DraftKings	-11353.1%53¢	-11152.6%53¢
Sportzino	-12555.6%56¢	-12054.5%55¢

Best O: -11252.8%53¢
Best U: -11252.8%53¢
Hit rate vs 204.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
DraftKings	-11252.8%53¢	-11252.8%53¢
Sportzino	-12054.5%55¢	-12555.6%56¢

Best O: -11553.5%53¢
Best U: -11553.5%53¢
Hit rate vs 205.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢

Best O: -11553.5%53¢
Best U: -11553.5%53¢
Hit rate vs 206.5: 25/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 25/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetOnline	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
LowVig	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢

Best O: -11052.4%52¢
Best U: -10751.7%52¢
Hit rate vs 208.5: 25/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 25/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-11553.5%53¢	-11252.8%53¢
FanDuel	-11453.3%53¢	-11453.3%53¢
Hard Rock Bet	-11052.4%52¢	———
ProphetX	———	-10751.7%52¢

Best O: +10050%50¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 213.5: 24/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 10/20 All 24/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10050%50¢	———

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 215.5: 22/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 3/10 L20 9/20 All 22/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10548.8%49¢	———

Best O: +11546.5%47¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 218.5: 20/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 3/10 L20 9/20 All 20/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11546.5%47¢	———

Best O: ———
Best U: -17563.6%64¢
Hit rate vs 222.5: 18/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 18/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-17563.6%64¢

Best O: +17736.1%36¢
Best U: -16362%62¢
Hit rate vs 224.5: 17/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 17/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+12245%45¢	-18064.3%64¢
Rebet	+17736.1%36¢	-17563.6%64¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+14441%41¢	———	41%
Polymarket	+14441%41¢	-16362%62¢	41%

Best O: +33922.8%23¢
Best U: -35578%78¢
Hit rate vs 249.5: 14/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 7/20 All 14/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+23929.5%29¢	-73388%88¢
ProphetX	+21531.7%32¢	———
Rebet	+33922.8%23¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+28526%26¢	-35578%78¢	26%
Polymarket	+25728%28¢	-35578%78¢	28%

Best O: +68912.7%13¢
Best U: -66787%87¢
Hit rate vs 274.5: 12/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 7/20 All 12/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+35522%22¢	-171894.5%94¢
Rebet	+68912.7%13¢	-66787%87¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+45618%18¢	-66987%87¢	18%
Polymarket	+42619%19¢	-90090%90¢	19%

Best O: +14586.4%6¢
Best U: -132993%93¢
Hit rate vs 299.5: 6/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 3/20 All 6/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+62013.9%14¢	———
Rebet	+14586.4%6¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+90010%10¢	-132993%93¢	10%
Polymarket	+80911%11¢	-156794%94¢	11%

Best O: +34212.8%3¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 324.5: 2/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 2/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+34212.8%3¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+11508%8¢	———	8%

Game log

Most recent first · Passing Yards

Bo Nix game log, Passing Yards
Date	Opp	Passing Yards	Vs 204.5
Oct 25	@ ARI	222.0	Hit
Oct 15	vs SEA	107.0	Miss
Oct 11	@ LAC	123.0	Miss
Oct 4	@ SF	214.0	Hit
Sep 27	vs LAR	186.0	Miss
Sep 20	vs JAX	288.0	Hit
Sep 14	@ KC	131.0	Miss
Jan 17	vs BUF	279.0	Hit
Jan 4	vs LAC	141.0	Miss
Dec 25	@ KC	182.0	Miss