Joshua Palmer

BAL @ BUF

Week 8 Sun 1:00 PM ET Moneyline BAL +16437.9%38¢ Strendus BUF -16261.8%62¢ Sxbet Spread BAL +3 +10648.5%49¢ Betfair Ex BUF -3 -10851.9%52¢ Miseojeu Total Over +10449%49¢ Betfair Ex Under -10651.5%51¢ Betfair Ex

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Selected prop

Receiving Yards

Line

o/u 12.5

Over at o/u 12.5

+10548.8%49¢

Hard Rock Bet

Under at o/u 12.5

+10050%50¢

Rebet

Projection: 10.3 yds
Consensus: +10050%50¢
Range: 0.5–89.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 12.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge -2.2 yds L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 14/20 All 24/31 (77%)

Where to bet

29 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 14.5 +13342.9%43¢

Kalshi

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 6/10 · All 24/31

Best Under · any line 14.5 -15060%60¢

Kalshi

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 4/10 · All 7/31

Line o/u 12.5 · 4 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: ———
Best U: +18035.7%36¢
Hit rate vs 0.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	+18035.7%36¢

Best O: ———
Best U: +17536.4%36¢
Hit rate vs 1.5: 30/31

L3 3/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 30/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	+17536.4%36¢

Best O: -24070.6%71¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 2.5: 29/31

L3 3/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-24070.6%71¢	———

Best O: -22068.8%69¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 3.5: 28/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 28/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-22068.8%69¢	———

Best O: -21067.7%68¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 4.5: 28/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 28/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-21067.7%68¢	———

Best O: -19065.5%66¢
Best U: +13542.6%43¢
Hit rate vs 5.5: 27/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 27/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-19065.5%66¢	+13542.6%43¢

Best O: -17063%63¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 6.5: 27/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 27/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-17063%63¢	———

Best O: -14058.3%58¢
Best U: +10050%50¢
Hit rate vs 8.5: 27/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 27/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-14058.3%58¢	+10050%50¢

Best O: -11753.9%54¢
Best U: +10848.1%48¢
Hit rate vs 9.5: 27/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 27/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-10551.2%51¢
Novig	———	+10449%49¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-11753.9%54¢	-10050%50¢	54%
Polymarket	———	+10848.1%48¢

Best O: +11346.9%47¢
Best U: -11252.8%53¢
Hit rate vs 10.5: 26/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 15/20 All 26/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bovada	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
Courtside	-11152.6%53¢	-11252.8%53¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	-10551.2%51¢	-12555.6%56¢
Fliff	-12555.6%56¢	-11553.5%53¢
Novig	+11346.9%47¢	-12255%55¢
ProphetX	-15460.6%61¢	-19065.5%66¢

Best O: -10551.2%51¢
Best U: -11653.7%54¢
Hit rate vs 11.5: 25/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 15/20 All 25/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetMGM	-11152.6%53¢	-12054.5%55¢
Bovada	-11052.4%52¢	-12054.5%55¢
Courtside	———	-11653.7%54¢
DraftKings	-10851.9%52¢	-11653.7%54¢
Hard Rock Bet	-10551.2%51¢	———

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: +10050%50¢
Hit rate vs 12.5: 24/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 14/20 All 24/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetMGM	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
Hard Rock Bet	+10548.8%49¢	-14559.2%59¢
Rebet	+10050%50¢	+10050%50¢
Stoiximan	-11152.6%53¢	———

Best O: +11546.5%47¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 13.5: 24/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 14/20 All 24/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11546.5%47¢	———

Best O: +13342.9%43¢
Best U: -15060%60¢
Hit rate vs 14.5: 24/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 14/20 All 24/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+12045.5%45¢	———
Novig	+11746.1%46¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+13342.9%43¢	-15060%60¢	43%

Best O: +13043.5%43¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 15.5: 23/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 14/20 All 23/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+13043.5%43¢	———

Best O: +14540.8%41¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 16.5: 22/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 13/20 All 22/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+14540.8%41¢	———

Best O: +17836%36¢
Best U: -16161.7%62¢
Hit rate vs 19.5: 20/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 4/10 L20 12/20 All 20/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+17536.4%36¢	-25071.4%71¢
Novig	+16338%38¢	-21368.1%68¢
ProphetX	+14640.7%41¢	———
Rebet	+16138.3%38¢	-16161.7%62¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+17836%36¢	-21368.1%68¢	36%
Polymarket	+17037%37¢	-20367%67¢	37%

Best O: +19034.5%34¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 20.5: 20/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 4/10 L20 12/20 All 20/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+19034.5%34¢	———

Best O: ———
Best U: -30075%75¢
Hit rate vs 21.5: 19/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 11/20 All 19/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-30075%75¢

Best O: +21032.3%32¢
Best U: -32576.5%76¢
Hit rate vs 22.5: 19/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 11/20 All 19/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+21032.3%32¢	-32576.5%76¢

Best O: +22530.8%31¢
Best U: -35077.8%78¢
Hit rate vs 23.5: 18/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 11/20 All 18/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+22530.8%31¢	-35077.8%78¢

Best O: +24529%29¢
Best U: -28574%74¢
Hit rate vs 24.5: 18/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 11/20 All 18/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+24029.4%29¢	———
Novig	+23330%30¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+24529%29¢	-28574%74¢	29%

Best O: +26027.8%28¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 25.5: 17/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 10/20 All 17/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+26027.8%28¢	———

Best O: +33523%23¢
Best U: -37679%79¢
Hit rate vs 29.5: 17/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 10/20 All 17/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+28526%26¢	-40080%80¢
ProphetX	+25528.2%28¢	-55084.6%85¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+33523%23¢	-37679%79¢	23%
Polymarket	———	-40080%80¢

Best O: +61414%14¢
Best U: -66987%87¢
Hit rate vs 39.5: 10/31

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 1/10 L20 7/20 All 10/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+40020%20¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+61414%14¢	-66987%87¢	14%

Best O: +90010%10¢
Best U: -132993%93¢
Hit rate vs 49.5: 6/31

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 3/20 All 6/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+38020.8%21¢	———
Rebet	+66013.2%13¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+90010%10¢	-132993%93¢	10%

Best O: +17055.5%6¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 69.5: 2/31

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 2/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+17055.5%6¢	———

Best O: +28153.4%3¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 79.5: 0/31

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 0/20 All 0/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+28153.4%3¢	———

Best O: +45952.1%2¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 89.5: 0/31

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 0/20 All 0/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+45952.1%2¢	———

Game log

Most recent first · Receiving Yards

Joshua Palmer game log, Receiving Yards
Date	Opp	Receiving Yards	Vs 12.5
Oct 18	@ LVR	37.0	Hit
Oct 4	vs NE	3.0	Miss
Sep 17	vs DET	43.0	Hit
Sep 13	@ HOU	34.0	Hit
Jan 4	vs NYJ	1.0	Miss
Dec 28	vs PHI	12.0	Miss
Dec 21	@ CLE	2.0	Miss
Dec 14	@ NE	16.0	Hit
Nov 20	@ HOU	21.0	Hit
Nov 16	vs TB	17.0	Hit

Latest updates

Palmer (shoulder) and DJ Moore (shoulder) are listed as questionable for Sunday's game at Las Vegas, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.
15 days ago

Last known status update — 15 days old

BallDontLie