JK Dobbins

KC @ DEN

Week 8 Sun 4:25 PM ET Moneyline KC -10952.2%52¢ Sxbet DEN +10848.1%48¢ Novig Spread KC -1.5 +10648.5%49¢ Polymarket DEN +1.5 -10651.5%51¢ Novig Total Over -10451%51¢ Betfair Ex Under +10349.3%49¢ Sxbet

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Selected prop

Rushing Yards

Line

o/u 28.5

Over at o/u 28.5

+10050%50¢

Novig

Under at o/u 28.5

-10851.9%52¢

Novig

Projection: 28.8 yds
Consensus: -11653.7%54¢
Range: 9.5–79.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 28.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge +0.3 yds L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31 (94%)

Where to bet

35 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 26.5 -14058.3%58¢

Hard Rock Bet

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 9/10 · All 29/31

Best Under · any line 26.5 +10050%50¢

Hard Rock Bet

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 1/10 · All 2/31

Line o/u 28.5 · 12 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -48883%83¢
Best U: +37621%21¢
Hit rate vs 9.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	+27027%27¢
ProphetX	-100090.9%91¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-48883%83¢	+37621%21¢	83%
Polymarket	-66987%87¢	+27027%27¢	87%

Best O: -52584%84¢
Best U: +32523.5%24¢
Hit rate vs 13.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-52584%84¢	+32523.5%24¢

Best O: -42681%81¢
Best U: +30025%25¢
Hit rate vs 14.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-45081.8%82¢	+30025%25¢
Novig	-42681%81¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	———	+28526%26¢

Best O: -40080%80¢
Best U: +26027.8%28¢
Hit rate vs 15.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-40080%80¢	+26027.8%28¢

Best O: -35077.8%78¢
Best U: +24029.4%29¢
Hit rate vs 16.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-35077.8%78¢	+24029.4%29¢

Best O: -32576.5%76¢
Best U: +22031.3%31¢
Hit rate vs 17.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-32576.5%76¢	+22031.3%31¢

Best O: -30075%75¢
Best U: +22530.8%31¢
Hit rate vs 18.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bovada	-31075.6%76¢	+22530.8%31¢
Hard Rock Bet	-30075%75¢	+19533.9%34¢

Best O: -21368.1%68¢
Best U: +23529.9%30¢
Hit rate vs 19.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-25071.4%71¢	+18035.7%36¢
ProphetX	-27073%73¢	———
Rebet	-23370%70¢	+23529.9%30¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-21368.1%68¢	+17836%36¢	68%
Polymarket	-21368.1%68¢	+17836%36¢	68%

Best O: -23069.7%70¢
Best U: +16038.5%38¢
Hit rate vs 20.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-23069.7%70¢	+16038.5%38¢

Best O: -21067.7%68¢
Best U: +15040%40¢
Hit rate vs 21.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-21067.7%68¢	+15040%40¢

Best O: -19065.5%66¢
Best U: +13542.6%43¢
Hit rate vs 22.5: 31/31

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 31/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-19065.5%66¢	+13542.6%43¢
Novig	-26472.5%73¢	+13043.5%43¢

Best O: -17563.6%64¢
Best U: +14041.7%42¢
Hit rate vs 23.5: 30/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 30/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bovada	-18564.9%65¢	+14041.7%42¢
Hard Rock Bet	-17563.6%64¢	+12544.4%44¢

Best O: -16562.3%62¢
Best U: +12843.9%44¢
Hit rate vs 24.5: 30/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 30/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-16562.3%62¢	+11546.5%47¢
ProphetX	-16662.4%62¢	+12843.9%44¢

Best O: -15060%60¢
Best U: +11047.6%48¢
Hit rate vs 25.5: 30/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 30/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-15060%60¢	+11047.6%48¢
Hard Rock Bet	-15060%60¢	+11047.6%48¢

Best O: -14058.3%58¢
Best U: +10050%50¢
Hit rate vs 26.5: 29/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-14058.3%58¢	+10050%50¢
ProphetX	———	+10050%50¢

Best O: -12054.5%55¢
Best U: -10551.2%51¢
Hit rate vs 27.5: 29/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bet99	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Hard Rock Bet	-13056.5%57¢	-10551.2%51¢

Best O: +10050%50¢
Best U: -10851.9%52¢
Hit rate vs 28.5: 29/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bet99	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
BetRivers	-11753.9%54¢	-11453.3%53¢
Bovada	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Courtside	-11653.7%54¢	-10851.9%52¢
DraftKings	-11653.7%54¢	-10851.9%52¢
Dst Propbuilder	-11252.8%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
Hard Rock Bet	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Novig	+10050%50¢	-10851.9%52¢
Pinnacle	-11152.6%53¢	-11353.1%53¢
ProphetX	-11252.8%53¢	-11353.1%53¢
Sportzino	-12054.5%55¢	-12555.6%56¢
Stoiximan	-10851.9%52¢	-11453.3%53¢

Best O: -10050%50¢
Best U: -10451%51¢
Hit rate vs 29.5: 29/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
DraftKings	-10952.2%52¢	-11653.7%54¢
Dst Propbuilder	-11152.6%53¢	-11653.7%54¢
FanDuel	-11353.1%53¢	-11353.1%53¢
Hard Rock Bet	-11553.5%53¢	-12555.6%56¢
Novig	———	-11353.1%53¢
ProphetX	-12154.8%55¢	-12255%55¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-10050%50¢	-10451%51¢	50%
Polymarket	-10050%50¢	-10451%51¢	50%

Best O: -11052.4%52¢
Best U: -11553.5%53¢
Hit rate vs 30.5: 29/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
Hard Rock Bet	-11052.4%52¢	-13056.5%57¢

Best O: +10050%50¢
Best U: -14058.3%58¢
Hit rate vs 31.5: 29/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 29/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10050%50¢	-14058.3%58¢

Best O: +11047.6%48¢
Best U: -15060%60¢
Hit rate vs 32.5: 28/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 28/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11047.6%48¢	-15060%60¢

Best O: +12045.5%45¢
Best U: -16061.5%62¢
Hit rate vs 33.5: 28/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 28/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bovada	+12045.5%45¢	-16061.5%62¢
Hard Rock Bet	+11546.5%47¢	-16061.5%62¢

Best O: +12544.4%44¢
Best U: -18064.3%64¢
Hit rate vs 34.5: 28/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 28/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+12544.4%44¢	-18064.3%64¢

Best O: +13043.5%43¢
Best U: -19065.5%66¢
Hit rate vs 35.5: 28/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 28/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+13043.5%43¢	-19065.5%66¢

Best O: +14041.7%42¢
Best U: -20066.7%67¢
Hit rate vs 36.5: 26/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 26/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+14041.7%42¢	-20066.7%67¢

Best O: +15040%40¢
Best U: -22068.8%69¢
Hit rate vs 37.5: 26/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 26/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+15040%40¢	-22068.8%69¢

Best O: +16038.5%38¢
Best U: -23069.7%70¢
Hit rate vs 38.5: 26/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 26/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+16038.5%38¢	-23069.7%70¢

Best O: +24628.9%29¢
Best U: -22369%69¢
Hit rate vs 39.5: 26/31

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 26/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+17536.4%36¢	-24070.6%71¢
Novig	+16338%38¢	-22369%69¢
ProphetX	+15040%40¢	———
Rebet	+24628.9%29¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+19434%34¢	-23370%70¢	34%
Polymarket	+18635%35¢	-22369%69¢	35%

Best O: +18035.7%36¢
Best U: -26072.2%72¢
Hit rate vs 40.5: 22/31

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 14/20 All 22/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+18035.7%36¢	-26072.2%72¢

Best O: +18535.1%35¢
Best U: -27573.3%73¢
Hit rate vs 41.5: 21/31

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 5/10 L20 13/20 All 21/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+18535.1%35¢	-27573.3%73¢

Best O: ———
Best U: -30075%75¢
Hit rate vs 42.5: 21/31

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 5/10 L20 13/20 All 21/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-30075%75¢

Best O: +50116.6%17¢
Best U: -48883%83¢
Hit rate vs 49.5: 19/31

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 4/10 L20 12/20 All 19/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+27526.7%27¢	———
Rebet	+50116.6%17¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+31724%24¢	-48883%83¢	24%
Polymarket	+31724%24¢	-66987%87¢	24%

Best O: +10228.9%9¢
Best U: -115092%92¢
Hit rate vs 59.5: 16/31

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 4/10 L20 12/20 All 16/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+35522%22¢	———
Rebet	+10228.9%9¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+52516%16¢	-115092%92¢	16%

Best O: +19165%5¢
Best U: -132993%93¢
Hit rate vs 69.5: 12/31

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 12/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+49016.9%17¢	———
Rebet	+19165%5¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+80911%11¢	-132993%93¢	11%

Best O: +34212.8%3¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 79.5: 8/31

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 4/20 All 8/31

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+34212.8%3¢	———

Game log

Most recent first · Rushing Yards

JK Dobbins game log, Rushing Yards
Date	Opp	Rushing Yards	Vs 28.5
Oct 25	@ ARI	23.0	Miss
Oct 15	vs SEA	41.0	Hit
Oct 11	@ LAC	68.0	Hit
Oct 4	@ SF	40.0	Hit
Sep 27	vs LAR	49.0	Hit
Sep 20	vs JAX	36.0	Hit
Sep 14	@ KC	36.0	Hit
Nov 6	vs LVR	77.0	Hit
Nov 2	@ HOU	61.0	Hit
Oct 26	vs DAL	111.0	Hit