Justin Herbert

LAC @ LAR

Week 8 Sun 4:05 PM ET Moneyline LAC +26427.5%27¢ Sxbet LAR +26427.5%27¢ Novig Spread LAC +6.5 +10050%50¢ Courtside LAR -6.5 +10249.5%50¢ Polymarket Total Over +10249.5%50¢ Polymarket Under -10150.2%50¢ Betfair Ex

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Selected prop

Passing Yards

Line

o/u 199.5

Over at o/u 199.5

+10050%50¢

Rebet

Under at o/u 199.5

+10449%49¢

Polymarket

Projection: 206.8 yds
Consensus: -10551.2%51¢
Range: 99.5–324.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 199.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge +7.3 yds L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 12/20 All 26/41 (63%)

Where to bet

16 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 224.5 +18734.8%35¢ Rebet

EV +20.9% · L10 3/10 · All 19/41

Best Under · any line 205.5 +10249.5%50¢

Novig

EV -0.2% · L10 5/10 · All 17/41

Line o/u 199.5 · 6 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -200095.2%95¢
Best U: +19284.9%5¢
Hit rate vs 99.5: 40/41

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 19/20 All 40/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	-200095.2%95¢	+19284.9%5¢

Best O: -83389.3%89¢
Best U: +81710.9%11¢
Hit rate vs 124.5: 39/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 39/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	+25128.5%28¢
Rebet	-83389.3%89¢	+81710.9%11¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-101191%91¢	+37621%21¢	91%

Best O: -38579.4%79¢
Best U: +38820.5%20¢
Hit rate vs 149.5: 34/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 17/20 All 34/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-48582.9%83¢	———
Rebet	-38579.4%79¢	+38820.5%20¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-45682%82¢	+35522%22¢	82%
Polymarket	-45682%82¢	+28526%26¢	82%

Best O: -18965.4%65¢
Best U: +19434%34¢
Hit rate vs 174.5: 30/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 14/20 All 30/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-27073%73¢	———
Rebet	-18965.4%65¢	+19034.5%34¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-22369%69¢	+19434%34¢	69%
Polymarket	-22369%69¢	+15639.1%39¢	69%

Best O: -16061.5%62¢
Best U: +11546.5%47¢
Hit rate vs 193.5: 27/41

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 12/20 All 27/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-16061.5%62¢	+11546.5%47¢

Best O: +10050%50¢
Best U: +10449%49¢
Hit rate vs 199.5: 26/41

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 12/20 All 26/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-13357.1%57¢	+10149.8%50¢
ProphetX	-13657.6%58¢	-10350.7%51¢
Rebet	+10050%50¢	+10050%50¢
Stoiximan	-11052.4%52¢	-11152.6%53¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-11753.9%54¢	———	54%
Polymarket	-12255%55¢	+10449%49¢	55%

Best O: +10149.8%50¢
Best U: -10150.2%50¢
Hit rate vs 200.5: 26/41

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 12/20 All 26/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Rebet	+10149.8%50¢	-10150.2%50¢

Best O: -11753.9%54¢
Best U: -11453.3%53¢
Hit rate vs 202.5: 26/41

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 12/20 All 26/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11753.9%54¢	-11453.3%53¢

Best O: -11453.3%53¢
Best U: -11753.9%54¢
Hit rate vs 203.5: 25/41

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 25/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11453.3%53¢	-11753.9%54¢

Best O: -11052.4%52¢
Best U: +10249.5%50¢
Hit rate vs 205.5: 24/41

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 10/20 All 24/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-11553.5%53¢	-11252.8%53¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	-11052.4%52¢	-12054.5%55¢
Novig	-11152.6%53¢	+10249.5%50¢
Pinnacle	-11252.8%53¢	-11252.8%53¢
ProphetX	-11052.4%52¢	-10751.7%52¢

Best O: -11453.3%53¢
Best U: -11453.3%53¢
Hit rate vs 206.5: 24/41

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 10/20 All 24/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-11453.3%53¢	-11453.3%53¢

Best O: +18734.8%35¢
Best U: -16362%62¢
Hit rate vs 224.5: 19/41

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 3/10 L20 7/20 All 19/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+13842%42¢	-17063%63¢
ProphetX	+13842%42¢	-18064.3%64¢
Rebet	+18734.8%35¢	-18965.4%65¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+15040%40¢	-16362%62¢	40%
Polymarket	+14441%41¢	———	41%

Best O: +36721.4%21¢
Best U: -28574%74¢
Hit rate vs 249.5: 13/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 4/20 All 13/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+23929.5%29¢	-48883%83¢
ProphetX	+23529.9%30¢	-32076.2%76¢
Rebet	+36721.4%21¢	-37078.7%79¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+27027%27¢	-28574%74¢	27%
Polymarket	+27027%27¢	-28574%74¢	27%

Best O: +73811.9%12¢
Best U: -66987%87¢
Hit rate vs 274.5: 11/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 2/20 All 11/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+35522%22¢	———
Rebet	+73811.9%12¢	-71487.7%88¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+48817%17¢	-66987%87¢	17%
Polymarket	+42619%19¢	-90090%90¢	19%

Best O: +15476.1%6¢
Best U: -115092%92¢
Hit rate vs 299.5: 6/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 2/20 All 6/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	-578298.3%98¢
ProphetX	+74011.9%12¢	———
Rebet	+15476.1%6¢	-166794.3%94¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+80911%11¢	-115092%92¢	11%
Polymarket	+73312%12¢	-115092%92¢	12%

Best O: +33362.9%3¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 324.5: 3/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 3/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+33362.9%3¢	———

Game log

Most recent first · Passing Yards

Justin Herbert game log, Passing Yards
Date	Opp	Passing Yards	Vs 199.5
Oct 18	@ KC	204.0	Hit
Oct 11	vs DEN	121.0	Miss
Oct 4	@ SEA	189.0	Miss
Sep 27	@ BUF	226.0	Hit
Sep 20	vs LVR	192.0	Miss
Sep 13	vs ARI	209.0	Hit
Jan 11	@ NE	159.0	Miss
Dec 27	vs HOU	236.0	Hit
Dec 21	@ DAL	300.0	Hit
Dec 14	@ KC	210.0	Hit