Justin Herbert
QB · LAC · team page
Passing Touchdowns
- Consensus
- -22068.8%69¢
- Range
- 0.5–3.5
- Best O
- -17063%63¢
- Best U
- +17037%37¢
- Projection
- 1.0 TD
- Edge
- +0.5 TD
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 35/40 (88%)
| Date | Opp | Passing Touchdowns | Vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs DEN | 1.0 | Hit |
| Oct 4 | @ SEA | 1.0 | Hit |
| Sep 27 | @ BUF | 1.0 | Hit |
| Sep 20 | vs LVR | 1.0 | Hit |
| Sep 13 | vs ARI | 1.0 | Hit |
| Jan 11 | @ NE | 0.0 | Miss |
| Dec 27 | vs HOU | 1.0 | Hit |
| Dec 21 | @ DAL | 2.0 | Hit |
| Dec 14 | @ KC | 1.0 | Hit |
| Dec 8 | vs PHI | 1.0 | Hit |
Best Over: 0.5 at
-18264.5%65¢
· 
Novig
EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 9/10 · All 35/40
Best Under: 1.5 at
-31776%76¢
· Novig
EV -11.9% · L10 9/10 · All 24/40
Tick marks the line most venues quote.
- Best O
- -17063%63¢
- Best U
- +17037%37¢
- Hit rate vs 0.5
- 35/40
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 35/40
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
-22068.8%69¢ | +16537.7%38¢ |
 BetRivers
|
-23570.1%70¢ | +17037%37¢ |
 Bovada
|
-21568.3%68¢ | +16038.5%38¢ |
| Courtside | -20967.6%68¢ | +16238.2%38¢ |
 DraftKings
|
-20967.6%68¢ | +16238.2%38¢ |
 FanDuel
|
-22068.8%69¢ | +16238.2%38¢ |
|
Novig
|
-18264.5%65¢ | +16338%38¢ |
 ProphetX
|
-19666.2%66¢ | +16637.6%38¢ |
| Sportzino | -23069.7%70¢ | +15040%40¢ |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
|
-17063%63¢ | ——— | 63% |
 Polymarket
|
-17864%64¢ | +17037%37¢ | 64% |
- Best O
- +27027%27¢
- Best U
- -31776%76¢
- Hit rate vs 1.5
- 16/40
L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 6/20 All 16/40
Sportsbooks
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
+27027%27¢ | -33577%77¢ | 27% |
|
Polymarket
|
+27027%27¢ | -37679%79¢ | 27% |
- Best O
- +10119%9¢
- Best U
- -132993%93¢
- Hit rate vs 2.5
- 4/40
L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 2/20 All 4/40
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
 Hard Rock Bet
|
+10009.1%9¢ | ——— |
|
Novig
|
+90010%10¢ | -9990099.9%100¢ |
|
ProphetX
|
+90010%10¢ | ——— |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
+10119%9¢ | -132993%93¢ | 9% |
|
Polymarket
|
+10119%9¢ | -190095%95¢ | 9% |
- Best O
- +30003.2%3¢
- Best U
- -5000099.8%100¢
- Hit rate vs 3.5
- 0/40
L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 0/20 All 0/40
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+30003.2%3¢ | -5000099.8%100¢ |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
|
+42619%19¢ | ——— | 19% |