Daniel Jones

IND @ JAX

Week 8 Sun 1:00 PM ET Moneyline IND +43318.8%19¢ Sxbet JAX -44181.5%82¢ Novig Spread IND +10.5 -11052.4%52¢ Paddypower JAX -10.5 +11147.4%47¢ Polymarket Total Over +10449%49¢ Betfair Ex Under -10551.2%51¢ Hard Rock Bet

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Selected prop

Passing Yards

Line

o/u 190.5

Over at o/u 190.5

-11553.5%53¢

Fanatics Sportsbook

Under at o/u 190.5

-11052.4%52¢

Dst Propbuilder

Projection: 196.8 yds
Consensus: -11653.7%54¢
Range: 38.5–324.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 190.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge +6.3 yds L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 20/30 (67%)

Where to bet

21 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 192.5 -11052.4%52¢

Pinnacle

EV -0.7% · L10 5/10 · All 20/30

Best Under · any line 192.5 -11052.4%52¢

Pinnacle

EV -8.4% · L10 5/10 · All 10/30

Line o/u 190.5 · 2 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -11252.8%53¢
Best U: -11653.7%54¢
Hit rate vs 38.5: 30/30

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 30/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11252.8%53¢	-11653.7%54¢

Best O: -115092%92¢
Best U: +20144.7%5¢
Hit rate vs 99.5: 28/30

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 28/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-156794%94¢	+38820.5%20¢
Rebet	———	+20144.7%5¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-115092%92¢	+90010%10¢	92%
Polymarket	-132993%93¢	+11508%8¢	93%

Best O: -56785%85¢
Best U: +80711%11¢
Hit rate vs 124.5: 27/30

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 27/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-66987%87¢	+33523%23¢
ProphetX	-73088%88¢	———
Rebet	———	+80711%11¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-56785%85¢	+45618%18¢	85%
Polymarket	-61486%86¢	+56715%15¢	86%

Best O: -31776%76¢
Best U: +34922.3%22¢
Hit rate vs 149.5: 26/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 26/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-33577%77¢	+25128.5%28¢
ProphetX	-35077.8%78¢	+25528.2%28¢
Rebet	———	+34922.3%22¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-31776%76¢	+28526%26¢	76%
Polymarket	-33577%77¢	+31724%24¢	77%

Best O: -15660.9%61¢
Best U: +16537.7%38¢
Hit rate vs 174.5: 24/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 16/20 All 24/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-17063%63¢	+13243.1%43¢
Rebet	———	+16537.7%38¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-15660.9%61¢	+15040%40¢	61%
Polymarket	-16362%62¢	+15639.1%39¢	62%

Best O: -17063%63¢
Best U: +12045.5%45¢
Hit rate vs 178.5: 23/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 16/20 All 23/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-17063%63¢	+12045.5%45¢

Best O: -16562.3%62¢
Best U: +11546.5%47¢
Hit rate vs 179.5: 23/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 16/20 All 23/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-16562.3%62¢	+11546.5%47¢

Best O: -15560.8%61¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 182.5: 22/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 22/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-15560.8%61¢	———

Best O: -15060%60¢
Best U: +11047.6%48¢
Hit rate vs 183.5: 22/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 22/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-15060%60¢	+11047.6%48¢

Best O: -14058.3%58¢
Best U: +10050%50¢
Hit rate vs 186.5: 21/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 21/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-14058.3%58¢	+10050%50¢

Best O: -12555.6%56¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 188.5: 21/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 21/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-12555.6%56¢	———

Best O: -11553.5%53¢
Best U: -11052.4%52¢
Hit rate vs 190.5: 20/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 20/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-11854.1%54¢	-11052.4%52¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢

Best O: -11052.4%52¢
Best U: -11052.4%52¢
Hit rate vs 192.5: 20/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 20/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Pinnacle	-11052.4%52¢	-11052.4%52¢
ProphetX	-11152.6%53¢	-11353.1%53¢

Best O: -11052.4%52¢
Best U: -12054.5%55¢
Hit rate vs 195.5: 20/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 20/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-11052.4%52¢	-12054.5%55¢

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: -11353.1%53¢
Hit rate vs 199.5: 20/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 20/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+10548.8%49¢	-12755.9%56¢
Rebet	———	-12054.5%55¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Polymarket	———	-11353.1%53¢

Best O: +11546.5%47¢
Best U: -16061.5%62¢
Hit rate vs 204.5: 19/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 4/10 L20 14/20 All 19/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11546.5%47¢	-16061.5%62¢

Best O: +23130.2%30¢
Best U: -20367%67¢
Hit rate vs 224.5: 15/30

L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 11/20 All 15/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+19434%34¢	-24571%71¢
ProphetX	+18635%35¢	-23069.7%70¢
Rebet	+23130.2%30¢	-23370%70¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+22331%31¢	-23370%70¢	31%
Polymarket	+19434%34¢	-20367%67¢	34%

Best O: +44218.5%18¢
Best U: -37679%79¢
Hit rate vs 249.5: 12/30

L3 2/3 L5 2/5 L10 2/10 L20 9/20 All 12/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+32623.5%23¢	-52584%84¢
ProphetX	+30524.7%25¢	-42581%81¢
Rebet	+44218.5%18¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+35522%22¢	-40080%80¢	22%
Polymarket	———	-37679%79¢

Best O: +9309.7%10¢
Best U: -66987%87¢
Hit rate vs 274.5: 4/30

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 3/20 All 4/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+54515.5%16¢	-123392.5%92¢
ProphetX	+53015.9%16¢	———
Rebet	+9309.7%10¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+61414%14¢	-73388%88¢	14%
Polymarket	+61414%14¢	-66987%87¢	14%

Best O: +20794.6%5¢
Best U: -115092%92¢
Hit rate vs 299.5: 2/30

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 2/20 All 2/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+90010%10¢	-132993%93¢
ProphetX	+82010.9%11¢	———
Rebet	+20794.6%5¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+10119%9¢	-115092%92¢	9%
Polymarket	+13297%7¢	-156794%94¢	7%

Best O: +15676%6¢
Best U: -490098%98¢
Hit rate vs 324.5: 1/30

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 1/30

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+15676%6¢	-490098%98¢
ProphetX	+11008.3%8¢	———

Game log

Most recent first · Passing Yards

Daniel Jones game log, Passing Yards
Date	Opp	Passing Yards	Vs 190.5
Oct 25	@ MIN	108.0	Miss
Oct 18	vs TEN	269.0	Hit
Oct 11	@ PIT	267.0	Hit
Oct 4	@ WAS	143.0	Miss
Sep 27	vs HOU	235.0	Hit
Sep 20	@ KC	210.0	Hit
Sep 13	vs BAL	166.0	Miss
Dec 7	@ JAX	60.0	Miss
Nov 30	vs HOU	201.0	Hit
Nov 23	@ KC	181.0	Miss