Dak Prescott

ARI @ DAL

Week 8 Sun 1:00 PM ET Moneyline ARI +28526%26¢ Novig DAL -28674.1%74¢ Betfair Ex Spread ARI +7 -10250.5%50¢ LowVig DAL -7 +10149.8%50¢ Sxbet Total Over -10050%50¢ Kalshi Under +10050%50¢ Miseojeu

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Selected prop

Passing Yards

Line

o/u 271.5

Over at o/u 271.5

+10050%50¢

Novig

Under at o/u 271.5

-11353.1%53¢

FanDuel

Projection: 271.8 yds
Consensus: -10851.9%52¢
Range: 64.5–399.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 271.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge +0.3 yds L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 14/32 (44%)

Where to bet

21 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 299.5 +21032.3%32¢ Rebet

EV +26.0% · L10 3/10 · All 10/32

Best Under · any line 249.5 +15639.1%39¢

Kalshi

EV +3.3% · L10 4/10 · All 12/32

Line o/u 271.5 · 4 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -11453.3%53¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 64.5: 32/32

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 32/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11453.3%53¢	———

Best O: ———
Best U: +41922.3%2¢
Hit rate vs 124.5: 31/32

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 31/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	———	+41922.3%2¢

Best O: -11653.7%54¢
Best U: -11252.8%53¢
Hit rate vs 138.5: 30/32

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 30/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11653.7%54¢	-11252.8%53¢

Best O: -200095.2%95¢
Best U: +21944.4%4¢
Hit rate vs 149.5: 30/32

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 30/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	-200095.2%95¢	+21944.4%4¢

Best O: -156794%94¢
Best U: +12007.7%8¢
Hit rate vs 174.5: 30/32

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 30/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-240096%96¢	———
Rebet	———	+12007.7%8¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Polymarket	-156794%94¢	+30025%25¢	94%

Best O: -73388%88¢
Best U: +61414%14¢
Hit rate vs 199.5: 25/32

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 8/10 L20 17/20 All 25/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-73388%88¢	+61414%14¢
ProphetX	-80088.9%89¢	+56015.2%15¢
Rebet	———	+57914.7%15¢

Best O: -31776%76¢
Best U: +29725.2%25¢
Hit rate vs 224.5: 23/32

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 23/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-40080%80¢	———
Rebet	———	+29725.2%25¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-31776%76¢	+28526%26¢	76%
Polymarket	-33577%77¢	+23330%30¢	77%

Best O: -17063%63¢
Best U: +15639.1%39¢
Hit rate vs 249.5: 20/32

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 6/10 L20 14/20 All 20/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-17063%63¢	———
ProphetX	-21067.7%68¢	+14241.3%41¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-17063%63¢	+15639.1%39¢	63%
Polymarket	-17063%63¢	+14441%41¢	63%

Best O: -13056.5%57¢
Best U: +10050%50¢
Hit rate vs 265.5: 15/32

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 10/20 All 15/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-13056.5%57¢	+10050%50¢

Best O: -12755.9%56¢
Best U: -12255%55¢
Hit rate vs 269.5: 14/32

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 14/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	-12755.9%56¢	-12255%55¢

Best O: +10050%50¢
Best U: -11353.1%53¢
Hit rate vs 271.5: 14/32

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 14/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
FanDuel	-11353.1%53¢	-11353.1%53¢
Novig	+10050%50¢	-11553.5%53¢
Pinnacle	-10451%51¢	-12154.8%55¢
ProphetX	-10651.5%51¢	-11653.7%54¢

Best O: -11353.1%53¢
Best U: -11152.6%53¢
Hit rate vs 273.5: 14/32

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 14/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-12154.8%55¢	-12054.5%55¢
DraftKings	-11353.1%53¢	-11152.6%53¢

Best O: +11746.1%46¢
Best U: -11353.1%53¢
Hit rate vs 274.5: 14/32

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 14/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetMGM	+11546.5%47¢	-15560.8%61¢
BetRivers	-11854.1%54¢	-12255%55¢
ProphetX	———	-13457.3%57¢
Rebet	———	-11453.3%53¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+11746.1%46¢	-12255%55¢	46%
Polymarket	+10848.1%48¢	-11353.1%53¢	48%

Best O: +10848.1%48¢
Best U: -24571%71¢
Hit rate vs 275.5: 14/32

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 14/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+10848.1%48¢	-24571%71¢

Best O: -10651.5%51¢
Best U: -12255%55¢
Hit rate vs 276.5: 13/32

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 8/20 All 13/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-10651.5%51¢	-12255%55¢

Best O: -11453.3%53¢
Best U: -11453.3%53¢
Hit rate vs 278.5: 13/32

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 8/20 All 13/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-11453.3%53¢	-11453.3%53¢
Pinnacle	-11453.3%53¢	-11453.3%53¢

Best O: +21032.3%32¢
Best U: -20367%67¢
Hit rate vs 299.5: 10/32

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 3/10 L20 6/20 All 10/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+18635%35¢	-25772%72¢
ProphetX	+16837.3%37¢	-22569.2%69¢
Rebet	+21032.3%32¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+19434%34¢	-20367%67¢	34%
Polymarket	+18635%35¢	-23370%70¢	35%

Best O: +38620.6%21¢
Best U: -37679%79¢
Hit rate vs 324.5: 6/32

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 1/10 L20 3/20 All 6/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+28526%26¢	-240096%96¢
ProphetX	+26027.8%28¢	———
Rebet	+38620.6%21¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+33523%23¢	-37679%79¢	23%
Polymarket	+30025%25¢	-40080%80¢	25%

Best O: +61414%14¢
Best U: -80989%89¢
Hit rate vs 349.5: 5/32

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 2/20 All 5/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+40020%20¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+61414%14¢	-90090%90¢	14%
Polymarket	+56715%15¢	-80989%89¢	15%

Best O: +15396.1%6¢
Best U: -132993%93¢
Hit rate vs 374.5: 2/32

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 2/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+67013%13¢	———
Rebet	+15396.1%6¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+11508%8¢	-132993%93¢	8%
Polymarket	+80911%11¢	-190095%95¢	11%

Best O: +15676%6¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 399.5: 0/32

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 0/20 All 0/32

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+79011.2%11¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+15676%6¢	———	6%

Game log

Most recent first · Passing Yards

Dak Prescott game log, Passing Yards
Date	Opp	Passing Yards	Vs 271.5
Oct 26	@ PHI	212.0	Miss
Oct 18	@ GB	258.0	Miss
Oct 8	vs TB	316.0	Hit
Oct 4	@ HOU	335.0	Hit
Sep 27	vs BAL	276.0	Hit
Sep 20	vs WAS	279.0	Hit
Sep 13	@ NYG	175.0	Miss
Jan 4	@ NYG	70.0	Miss
Dec 25	@ WAS	307.0	Hit
Dec 21	vs LAC	244.0	Miss