First Touchdown o0.5
Polymarket
+90010%10¢
vs
DraftKings
+75011.8%12¢
· +1.76pp vs DraftKings
fair 11.9% · Kalshi, multiplicative devig
Right now BeatVig prices 243 NFL props at both. Polymarket is the cheaper side 79% of the time (193 of 243), and DraftKings is cheaper on 47. This is the board as it stands at 31 Oct 13:16 ET, not an average over any period — BeatVig measures live prices and keeps no price history.
How they differ
Polymarket's taker fee is a fraction of a percent, which in theory makes it the cheapest way to take a position anywhere on this site. In practice the constraint is liquidity: a thin order book can show a beautiful price with nothing behind it, while DraftKings will always take your bet at the number it posted. The comparison below shows where Polymarket is genuinely the better price on a DraftKings prop, and it is worth checking the size on the Polymarket side before acting on one.
Where Polymarket is cheaper
Counted above: every prop Polymarket prices lower than DraftKings. Listed below: the ones that also beat a de-vigged fair price, which is the stricter test and the only one worth acting on.
Anytime Touchdown o0.5
Polymarket
+42619%19¢
vs
DraftKings
+35022.2%22¢
· +3.21pp vs DraftKings
fair 20.8% · Kalshi, multiplicative devig
Passing Touchdowns o1.5
Polymarket
+17836%36¢
vs
DraftKings
+16338%38¢
· +2.05pp vs DraftKings
fair 37.7% · Pinnacle, multiplicative devig
+0.61pp
+1.76pp
was the raw edge before Polymarket's
fee, which takes 1.15 percentage points of it
27 more props behind Premium
Free accounts see a 3-edge sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every prop where Polymarket beats DraftKings, in every sport.
Go PremiumHow each one charges
- Polymarket
- Polymarket is an order-book market: the price is whatever two traders agree on, and a share that settles at $1 quotes as a probability directly.
- Polymarket's taker fee is a fraction of a percent, which makes its headline quote very close to the all-in cost and often the cheapest of the exchanges in the middle of the price range.
- Polymarket runs deep liquidity on headline games and much thinner books on the rest of the slate, and its player-prop coverage is still filling in — check the size behind a quote, not just the quote.
- DraftKings
- The DraftKings sportsbook sets the line, prices both sides with its margin included, and takes the other side of your bet itself. DraftKings Predictions is a separate, CFTC-regulated product with its own pricing and its own state list.
- DraftKings' margin is inside the price. You pay it on every bet you place, whether that bet wins or loses.
- DraftKings offers the widest US player-prop menu of any venue on this site.
Polymarket vs DraftKings FAQ
Is Polymarket cheaper than DraftKings?
Across the 243 NFL props priced at both venues right now, Polymarket is the cheaper side on 193 and DraftKings is cheaper on 47; the rest are priced identically at both. Neither venue is cheaper on everything, and this is a live count of the current boards rather than an average over time.
How do you compare a Polymarket price to a DraftKings price?
Every quote from both venues is converted to the implied probability of the same outcome, so a contract price and an American price become the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want.
What does Polymarket charge?
Polymarket's taker fee is a fraction of a percent, which makes its headline quote very close to the all-in cost and often the cheapest of the exchanges in the middle of the price range.
What does DraftKings charge?
DraftKings' margin is inside the price. You pay it on every bet you place, whether that bet wins or loses.
How often does this comparison update?
It is computed from the live board every time the page loads, so it reflects the prices both venues are showing at that moment rather than a snapshot taken on an earlier day.