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San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres

Next game

MIA @ SDP

Moneyline

MIA +1pp better — 1.0 percentage points off the win rate this bet has to hit to break even, against the median of the other books +141 NovigNovig
SDP +2pp better — 2.0 percentage points off the win rate this bet has to hit to break even, against the median of the other books -143 MatchbookMatchbook

Spread

MIA +1.5 +0.6pp better — 0.6 percentage points off the win rate this bet has to hit to break even, against the median of the other books -156 KalshiKalshi
SDP -1.5 +2.9pp better — 2.9 percentage points off the win rate this bet has to hit to break even, against the median of the other books +158 ProphetXProphetX

Total 7.5

Over +1.5pp better — 1.5 percentage points off the win rate this bet has to hit to break even, against the median of the other books +100 1xBet1xBet
Under +2.9pp better — 2.9 percentage points off the win rate this bet has to hit to break even, against the median of the other books +102 NovigNovig

Market trends

2026 season · 125 games · Apr 29 – Sep 18

San Diego Padres hit rate by team betting market, overall and split by home and away games. Pushes are excluded.
Market All Home Away
Run line Covered 53% 66-59 44% 27-34 61% 39-25
Game total Over 48% 57-63 40% 23-34 54% 34-29
Team total Over 49% 61-64 38% 23-38 59% 38-26
Moneyline Won 53% 66-59 61% 37-24 45% 29-35

Tonight's props

Casey Mize 4 markets Dustin Harris 11 markets Luis Campusano 11 markets

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