How this price has moved at 4.5
Walker Buehler Hits Allowed 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 44.5% against 51.0% (an edge of -6.5 points) and is now 44.2% against 51.9% (-7.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:30 AM | 44.5% | 51.0% | -6.5 |
| Sep 20, 11:50 AM | 45.6% | 50.8% | -5.2 |
| Sep 20, 12:00 PM | 44.2% | 53.9% | -9.7 |
| Sep 20, 1:50 PM | 47.5% | 48.2% | -0.7 |
| Sep 20, 2:30 PM | 44.1% | 47.4% | -3.3 |
| Sep 20, 3:20 PM | 46.0% | 47.3% | -1.3 |
| Sep 20, 3:30 PM | 46.2% | 47.9% | -1.7 |
| Sep 20, 3:40 PM | 46.2% | 46.5% | -0.3 |
| Sep 26, 1:20 PM | 47.5% | 51.9% | -4.4 |
| Sep 26, 4:30 PM | 45.9% | 51.0% | -5.1 |
| Sep 26, 5:50 PM | 44.2% | 51.9% | -7.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 57m ago | ||
| Courtside | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 25m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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