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Closing Line Value (CLV)

Closing line value (CLV) is the gap between the price you got on a bet and where that same market closed just before the event started — consistently beating the close is one of the strongest signs that a bettor has a real, repeatable edge.

Worked example

Bet a total at -3 and the market closes at -1 (the number moved toward your side before kickoff) and you've beaten the close by 2 points of CLV on that bet — independent of whether it actually won.

What BeatVig does (and doesn't) track here

BeatVig doesn't log individual bets or wager history, so it can't calculate a personal CLV score for any one reader. What it does keep is each game market's own closing price — the last line observed before an event starts — for historical rendering, which is the number you'd compare your own bet against by hand.

In short

Closing line value (CLV) is the gap between the price you got on a bet and where that same market closed just before the event started — consistently beating the close is one of the strongest signs that a bettor has a real, repeatable edge. Bet a total at -3 and the market closes at -1 (the number moved toward your side before kickoff) and you've beaten the close by 2 points of CLV on that bet — independent of whether it actually won.

Closing Line Value (CLV) — FAQ

Does BeatVig track my closing line value?

No. BeatVig doesn't store individual bets or wager history, so it can't calculate a personal CLV score for any one reader. It does keep each market's own closing price — the last line observed before an event starts — which you can compare your own bet against.

Why do sharp bettors care about CLV?

Beating the closing line consistently, across many bets, is one of the few statistically reliable signs of a real edge — win rate alone is too noisy over a small sample, but a market's own final number is close to the best collective price estimate available.

Is CLV the same as expected value?

No. EV estimates a bet's value at the moment you place it, against a fair line computed right then. CLV measures that same bet afterward, against where the market actually settled by kickoff — a bet can show positive CLV and still have been -EV when placed, or the reverse.

Where can I see a market's price move toward its close?

BeatVig's own line movement pages chart how a prop's price has moved since it opened, for every sport it covers.