Novig vs DraftKings arbitrage

Novig charges nothing on a pregame straight trade, on either side. That single fact makes this the cleanest pair on the site to measure: whatever margin the two posted prices imply is the margin you keep, with no fee to subtract from the Novig leg and nothing separate on the DraftKings one. Positions here are rarer than on the exchanges, and when they exist the arithmetic is unusually simple.

Novig looks like a sportsbook and prices like an exchange: another user takes the other side of your bet. So the number it posts is not a desk's opinion with a margin around it, it is where supply and demand met. Against DraftKings that usually shows up as a straight price improvement on the same outcome rather than a disagreement about the outcome, and a two-sided position opens when that improvement is large enough to cover the other side.

Depth is the constraint here too, but it behaves differently from an exchange. When Novig cannot match you against another user it steps in as counterparty, and the price it gives you in that situation carries a spread the posted number did not. The position you priced off the board is not always the position you get filled at, so confirm the Novig number at the moment of placing rather than from this page.

Novig odds today. Novig takes a small per-contract fee from the taker and pays makers a rebate rather than baking vig into the line. It is low-fee rather than fee-free, and when Novig steps in as counterparty in a thin market a spread comes back into the price.

DraftKings odds today. DraftKings' margin is inside the price. You pay it on every bet you place, whether that bet wins or loses.

Leave this page open — the board above rescans itself as Novig's and DraftKings's prices move, so a position that opens while you're reading appears on its own rather than needing a reload. Right now the two are both quoting Anytime Touchdown, Field Goals Made, Kicking Points, Longest Reception, Longest Rush, Passing Attempts, Passing Completions, Passing Interceptions, Passing Rushing Yards, Passing Touchdowns, Passing Yards, Receiving Yards, Receptions, Rushing Attempts, Rushing Receiving Yards, Rushing Yards, Moneyline, Spread, and Total, which is the only ground a position between them can come from.

What a card here actually means

A fair line would put Novig's price and DraftKings's price on opposite sides of the same bet at exactly 100% of a certainty between them. This board only prints a card when the two real prices, net of both venues' fees, add up to less than that — the gap between 100% and what they actually sum to is the arbitrage, and the stake split tells you how to size each leg so both sides return the same amount whichever one wins. On a Novig vs DraftKings position that return is fixed rather than probable — expected value (EV) of a certain kind rather than a probable one, which is why it's usually smaller than a single-sided bet's edge.

Novig's leg is the one with a finite order book behind it on this Novig vs DraftKings pair — check its depth before you place the DraftKings side, since it's the side that can fill at a worse price or disappear while you're placing the second leg. Run Novig and DraftKings's exact numbers through the arbitrage calculator before you place either leg — the fee table above uses one fixed example, and your own prices won't match it exactly. For every other pair BeatVig tracks, see arbitrage bets today.