Projection 1.3
Last 2 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 0 of 2 (0%).
Cyrus Allen Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.4% against 51.6% (an edge of -5.2 points) and is now 46.2% against 48.3% (-2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 7:10 AM | 46.4% | 51.6% | -5.2 |
| Oct 16, 7:30 AM | 46.5% | 50.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 16, 7:40 AM | 46.7% | 49.2% | -2.5 |
| Oct 16, 12:40 PM | 46.2% | 48.3% | -2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 28m ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 5h ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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