Efton Chism — Receptions
Projection 1.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Efton Chism Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 51.9% (an edge of -0.9 points) and is now 62.5% against 63.5% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 12:30 PM | 51.0% | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 9, 4:00 PM | 56.7% | 57.8% | -1.1 |
| Oct 9, 4:10 PM | 59.3% | 62.6% | -3.3 |
| Oct 9, 4:20 PM | 60.3% | 62.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 9, 4:30 PM | 62.1% | 62.6% | -0.5 |
| Oct 9, 4:40 PM | 62.5% | 63.5% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetRivers
|
1.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 9m ago | |
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 39m ago | |
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 30m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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