Projection 0.9
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Elijah Arroyo Receptions 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.7% against 60.0% (an edge of -3.3 points) and is now 56.7% against 60.0% (-3.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 4:50 AM | 56.7% | 60.0% | -3.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 7h ago | |
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0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 32m ago | |
| Parlayplay | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 14h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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