Tai Felton — Receptions
Projection 1.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Tai Felton Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.1% against 50.0% (an edge of -3.9 points) and is now 49.7% against 53.1% (-3.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 6:10 PM | 46.1% | 50.0% | -3.9 |
| Oct 2, 6:20 PM | 44.5% | 49.2% | -4.7 |
| Oct 2, 6:40 PM | 47.3% | 51.0% | -3.7 |
| Oct 2, 6:50 PM | 47.5% | 51.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 2, 8:10 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 2, 8:20 PM | 48.5% | 50.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 2, 8:30 PM | 50.1% | 50.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 2, 9:20 PM | 47.1% | 49.3% | -2.2 |
| Oct 3, 9:50 AM | 51.5% | 49.3% | 2.2 |
| Oct 3, 11:20 AM | 50.6% | 51.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 3, 2:10 PM | 51.0% | 52.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 3, 4:30 PM | 49.7% | 53.1% | -3.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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