Projection 62.5
+1.38pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
-10651.5%51¢
against
BetMGM's
-11152.6%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (65.5)
Teal bars cleared 65.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Bhayshul Tuten Rushing Yards 65.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.4% against 55.5% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 51.8% against 52.6% (-0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 7:40 PM | 50.4% | 55.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 7, 7:50 PM | 50.0% | 54.2% | -4.2 |
| Oct 7, 9:20 PM | 49.6% | 53.7% | -4.1 |
| Oct 7, 9:30 PM | 49.6% | 53.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 7, 11:00 PM | 50.2% | 53.7% | -3.5 |
| Oct 8, 1:30 PM | 52.0% | 52.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 8, 2:10 PM | 50.0% | 64.9% | -14.9 |
| Oct 8, 2:30 PM | 50.0% | 54.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 8, 4:20 PM | 49.1% | 56.9% | -7.8 |
| Oct 8, 9:30 PM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 9, 2:20 AM | 51.0% | 51.2% | -0.2 |
| Oct 9, 3:10 AM | 50.6% | 51.2% | -0.6 |
| Oct 9, 9:50 AM | 51.0% | 52.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 9, 10:50 AM | 56.1% | 52.4% | 3.7 |
| Oct 9, 1:10 PM | 50.4% | 51.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 9, 3:20 PM | 53.0% | 51.9% | 1.1 |
| Oct 9, 4:00 PM | 49.5% | 51.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 9, 4:10 PM | 49.1% | 51.7% | -2.6 |
| Oct 9, 9:40 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 9, 11:40 PM | 49.5% | 53.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 10, 2:40 PM | 49.5% | 51.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 10, 5:40 PM | 51.8% | 52.6% | -0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
65.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 20m ago | ||
|
|
65.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Thescorebet | 69.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Thescorebet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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