Ollie Gordon — Receptions
Projection 1.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Ollie Gordon Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 37.1% against 39.1% (an edge of -2 points) and is now 37.6% against 39.1% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 5:20 PM | 37.1% | 39.1% | -2 |
| Oct 2, 6:50 PM | 36.1% | 38.5% | -2.4 |
| Oct 3, 12:10 AM | 42.2% | 37.0% | 5.2 |
| Oct 3, 8:20 AM | 37.6% | 38.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 3, 10:30 AM | 39.2% | 38.0% | 1.2 |
| Oct 3, 10:40 AM | 37.6% | 39.1% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | |
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 35m ago | |
 Novig
|
1.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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