Projection 0.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Ryan Miller Receptions 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 61.3% against 59.0% (an edge of 2.3 points) and is now 55.1% against 56.1% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 6:40 PM | 61.3% | 59.0% | 2.3 |
| Oct 2, 6:50 PM | 60.4% | 59.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 2, 8:00 PM | 58.4% | 57.1% | 1.3 |
| Oct 2, 8:30 PM | 58.2% | 58.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 3, 2:10 AM | 58.2% | 56.3% | 1.9 |
| Oct 3, 2:30 AM | 58.4% | 56.1% | 2.3 |
| Oct 3, 9:00 AM | 54.9% | 55.0% | -0.1 |
| Oct 3, 9:10 AM | 55.1% | 56.1% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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|
0.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 9h ago | |
| Courtside | 0.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 9h ago | |
|
|
0.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 9h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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