Projection 0.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Blake Whiteheart Receptions 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 35.3% against 41.0% (an edge of -5.7 points) and is now 10.5% against 25.0% (-14.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 6:30 PM | 35.3% | 41.0% | -5.7 |
| Sep 27, 7:50 PM | 10.5% | 25.0% | -14.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 3m ago | |
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 18m ago | ||
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1.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 34m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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