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Brian Thomas

WR · JAX · team page

IND @ JAX

Week 8 Sun 1:00 PM ET Moneyline IND +44018.5%19¢ Bet25 JAX -43781.4%81¢ Sxbet Spread IND +10 +10050%50¢ ProphetX JAX -10 -10150.2%50¢ Betfair Ex Total Over +10050%50¢ Novig Under -10250.5%50¢ Betfair Ex

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Selected prop

Receiving Yards

Line

o/u 10.5

Over at o/u 10.5

+10648.5%49¢

Novig

Under at o/u 10.5

-10851.9%52¢

Novig

Projection: 10.3 yds
Consensus: -11252.8%53¢
Range: 0.5–59.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 10.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge -0.2 yds L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 35/38 (92%)

Where to bet

26 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 9.5 -11353.1%53¢

Novig

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 7/10 · All 35/38

Best Under · any line 11.5 -11453.3%53¢

DraftKings

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 3/10 · All 4/38

Line o/u 10.5 · 7 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: +19533.9%34¢
Hit rate vs 0.5: 36/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	+10548.8%49¢	-13757.8%58¢
Hard Rock Bet	-30075%75¢	+19533.9%34¢

Best O: -27573.3%73¢
Best U: +19034.5%34¢
Hit rate vs 1.5: 36/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-27573.3%73¢	+19034.5%34¢

Best O: -26072.2%72¢
Best U: +18035.7%36¢
Hit rate vs 2.5: 36/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-26072.2%72¢	+18035.7%36¢

Best O: -24070.6%71¢
Best U: +17037%37¢
Hit rate vs 3.5: 36/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-24070.6%71¢	+17037%37¢

Best O: -11854.1%54¢
Best U: +12544.4%44¢
Hit rate vs 4.5: 36/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11854.1%54¢	———
ProphetX	-22068.8%69¢	+12544.4%44¢

Best O: -18564.9%65¢
Best U: +13542.6%43¢
Hit rate vs 6.5: 36/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-18564.9%65¢	+13542.6%43¢

Best O: -16762.5%63¢
Best U: +12045.5%45¢
Hit rate vs 7.5: 36/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-17063%63¢	+12045.5%45¢
Novig	-16762.5%63¢	-17864%64¢

Best O: -15560.8%61¢
Best U: +10548.8%49¢
Hit rate vs 8.5: 35/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 35/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-15560.8%61¢	+10548.8%49¢
Novig	———	-14158.5%59¢

Best O: -10851.9%52¢
Best U: +10848.1%48¢
Hit rate vs 9.5: 35/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 35/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bovada	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Courtside	———	-10952.2%52¢
DraftKings	-11653.7%54¢	-10952.2%52¢
Hard Rock Bet	-14058.3%58¢	-10551.2%51¢
Novig	-11353.1%53¢	+10249.5%50¢
ProphetX	-11553.5%53¢	-10150.2%50¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-11353.1%53¢	+10848.1%48¢	53%
Polymarket	-10851.9%52¢	+10449%49¢	52%

Best O: +10648.5%49¢
Best U: -10851.9%52¢
Hit rate vs 10.5: 35/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 35/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-10952.2%52¢	-12154.8%55¢
Bovada	-11052.4%52¢	-12054.5%55¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Hard Rock Bet	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
Novig	+10648.5%49¢	-10851.9%52¢
Pinnacle	-11052.4%52¢	-11052.4%52¢
Rebet	-12555.6%56¢	-12555.6%56¢

Best O: -11052.4%52¢
Best U: -11453.3%53¢
Hit rate vs 11.5: 34/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 34/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11353.1%53¢	-11854.1%54¢
DraftKings	-11052.4%52¢	-11453.3%53¢
Hard Rock Bet	-11052.4%52¢	-12054.5%55¢

Best O: +10050%50¢
Best U: -13557.4%57¢
Hit rate vs 12.5: 33/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 33/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10050%50¢	-13557.4%57¢

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: -15560.8%61¢
Hit rate vs 13.5: 33/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 33/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10548.8%49¢	-15560.8%61¢

Best O: +13842%42¢
Best U: -10350.7%51¢
Hit rate vs 14.5: 33/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 33/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-12555.6%56¢	-10350.7%51¢
Hard Rock Bet	+11546.5%47¢	-17063%63¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+13842%42¢	———	42%

Best O: +13742.2%42¢
Best U: -11152.6%53¢
Hit rate vs 15.5: 33/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 33/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Dst Propbuilder	-10250.5%50¢	-12755.9%56¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	+11047.6%48¢	-15060%60¢
Hard Rock Bet	+12544.4%44¢	-17563.6%64¢
Novig	+12245%45¢	-22369%69¢
Pinnacle	+13742.2%42¢	-17663.8%64¢
ProphetX	+12744.1%44¢	-11152.6%53¢
Rebet	-11353.1%53¢	-13858%58¢

Best O: +13542.6%43¢
Best U: -10851.9%52¢
Hit rate vs 16.5: 33/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 33/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+13542.6%43¢	-19065.5%66¢
Rebet	-13056.5%57¢	-11954.3%54¢
Stoiximan	-11453.3%53¢	-10851.9%52¢

Best O: -11152.6%53¢
Best U: -11052.4%52¢
Hit rate vs 17.5: 32/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 6/10 L20 16/20 All 32/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	———	-13056.5%57¢
Sportzino	-12555.6%56¢	-12054.5%55¢
Stoiximan	-11152.6%53¢	-11052.4%52¢

Best O: +10748.3%48¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 18.5: 31/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 31/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+10748.3%48¢	———

Best O: +21232.1%32¢
Best U: -22369%69¢
Hit rate vs 19.5: 31/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 31/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+18635%35¢	-44181.5%82¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+19434%34¢	-22369%69¢	34%
Polymarket	+21232.1%32¢	———	32%

Best O: +26027.8%28¢
Best U: -30075%75¢
Hit rate vs 24.5: 29/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 4/10 L20 14/20 All 29/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+26027.8%28¢	-40080%80¢
ProphetX	+23529.9%30¢	-32576.5%76¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	———	-30075%75¢

Best O: +21032.3%32¢
Best U: -30075%75¢
Hit rate vs 27.5: 28/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 4/10 L20 14/20 All 28/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+21032.3%32¢	-30075%75¢

Best O: +40020%20¢
Best U: -37679%79¢
Hit rate vs 29.5: 27/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 4/10 L20 13/20 All 27/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+30025%25¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+40020%20¢	———	20%
Polymarket	———	-37679%79¢

Best O: +24029.4%29¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 34.5: 26/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 4/10 L20 12/20 All 26/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+24029.4%29¢	———

Best O: +66913%13¢
Best U: -56785%85¢
Hit rate vs 39.5: 25/38

L3 0/3 L5 1/5 L10 3/10 L20 11/20 All 25/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+48517.1%17¢	-90090%90¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+66913%13¢	-56785%85¢	13%
Polymarket	+56715%15¢	-61486%86¢	15%

Best O: +80911%11¢
Best U: -101191%91¢
Hit rate vs 49.5: 18/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 6/20 All 18/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+66013.2%13¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+80911%11¢	-115092%92¢	11%
Polymarket	+80911%11¢	-101191%91¢	11%

Best O: +13297%7¢
Best U: -190095%95¢
Hit rate vs 59.5: 16/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 4/20 All 16/38

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+13297%7¢	-190095%95¢	7%

Game log

Most recent first · Receiving Yards

Brian Thomas game log, Receiving Yards
Date	Opp	Receiving Yards	Vs 10.5
Oct 18	vs HOU	0.0	Miss
Oct 11	vs PHI	0.0	Miss
Oct 4	@ CIN	17.0	Hit
Sep 27	vs NE	8.0	Miss
Sep 20	@ DEN	40.0	Hit
Sep 13	vs CLE	40.0	Hit
Jan 11	vs BUF	21.0	Hit
Jan 4	vs TEN	49.0	Hit
Dec 28	@ IND	39.0	Hit
Dec 21	@ DEN	18.0	Hit