Marvin Harrison — Receptions
Projection 3.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Marvin Harrison Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.8% against 42.0% (an edge of -1.2 points) and is now 23.4% against 28.2% (-4.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 1:10 PM | 40.8% | 42.0% | -1.2 |
| Sep 18, 4:50 PM | 40.0% | 41.5% | -1.5 |
| Sep 18, 5:10 PM | 40.7% | 41.0% | -0.3 |
| Sep 18, 6:40 PM | 41.1% | 40.7% | 0.4 |
| Sep 19, 3:30 AM | 42.0% | 41.0% | 1 |
| Sep 20, 6:50 AM | 42.5% | 44.1% | -1.6 |
| Sep 20, 1:20 PM | 42.4% | 41.0% | 1.4 |
| Sep 20, 4:10 PM | 44.3% | 42.0% | 2.3 |
| Sep 20, 4:20 PM | 44.6% | 42.0% | 2.6 |
| Sep 20, 8:30 PM | 45.5% | 48.1% | -2.6 |
| Sep 20, 8:50 PM | 30.0% | 36.0% | -6 |
| Sep 20, 9:10 PM | 23.4% | 19.0% | 4.4 |
| Sep 20, 9:40 PM | 11.4% | 11.5% | -0.1 |
| Sep 20, 10:10 PM | 15.0% | 16.0% | -1 |
| Sep 20, 10:20 PM | 10.8% | 10.0% | 0.8 |
| Sep 23, 9:10 PM | 23.2% | 29.0% | -5.8 |
| Sep 23, 9:30 PM | 23.4% | 28.2% | -4.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ProphetX
|
0.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 5h ago | |
 Hard Rock Bet
|
1.5 | Hard Rock Bet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 4h ago | |
| Courtside | 2.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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