Evan McPherson — Kicking Points
Projection 7.8
How this price has moved at 7.5
Evan McPherson Kicking Points 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.1% against 53.1% (an edge of -4 points) and is now 49.3% against 52.6% (-3.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 12:10 AM | 49.1% | 53.1% | -4 |
| Sep 27, 1:50 PM | 49.3% | 52.6% | -3.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hard Rock Bet
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Parlayplay | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 2d ago | ||
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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