Dawson Knox

BAL @ BUF

Week 8 Sun 1:00 PM ET Moneyline BAL +16138.3%38¢ Sxbet BUF -16061.5%62¢ Bet99 Spread BAL +3 +10548.8%49¢ Sxbet BUF -3 -10851.9%52¢ Courtside Total Over +10449%49¢ Betfair Ex Under -10651.5%51¢ Betfair Ex

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Selected prop

Receiving Yards

Line

o/u 7.5

Over at o/u 7.5

-10851.9%52¢

Courtside

Under at o/u 7.5

-10551.2%51¢

Courtside

Projection: 6.8 yds
Consensus: -11152.6%53¢
Range: 0.5–49.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 7.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge -0.7 yds L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 27/41 (66%)

Where to bet

26 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 7.5 -10851.9%52¢ Courtside

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 5/10 · All 27/41

Best Under · any line 7.5 -10551.2%51¢ Courtside

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 5/10 · All 14/41

Line o/u 7.5 · 6 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -22569.2%69¢
Best U: +15539.2%39¢
Hit rate vs 0.5: 37/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 37/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-22569.2%69¢	+15539.2%39¢

Best O: -22068.8%69¢
Best U: +15040%40¢
Hit rate vs 1.5: 37/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 37/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-22068.8%69¢	+15040%40¢

Best O: -20066.7%67¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 2.5: 37/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 37/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-20066.7%67¢	———

Best O: -18564.9%65¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 3.5: 37/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 37/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-18564.9%65¢	———

Best O: -16562.3%62¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 4.5: 36/41

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 19/20 All 36/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-16562.3%62¢	———

Best O: ———
Best U: +10548.8%49¢
Hit rate vs 5.5: 31/41

L3 2/3 L5 2/5 L10 7/10 L20 17/20 All 31/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	+10548.8%49¢

Best O: -12054.5%55¢
Best U: -11052.4%52¢
Hit rate vs 6.5: 30/41

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 6/10 L20 16/20 All 30/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bovada	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Hard Rock Bet	-13056.5%57¢	———

Best O: -10851.9%52¢
Best U: -10551.2%51¢
Hit rate vs 7.5: 27/41

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 27/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bovada	-11052.4%52¢	-12054.5%55¢
Courtside	-10851.9%52¢	-10551.2%51¢
Fliff	-12054.5%55¢	-12555.6%56¢
Novig	-11453.3%53¢	———
Pinnacle	-11353.1%53¢	-11152.6%53¢
ProphetX	-15660.9%61¢	-19065.5%66¢

Best O: -11453.3%53¢
Best U: -10851.9%52¢
Hit rate vs 8.5: 27/41

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 27/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bet99	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
BetMGM	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢
Stoiximan	-11453.3%53¢	-10851.9%52¢

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: -11753.9%54¢
Hit rate vs 9.5: 27/41

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 15/20 All 27/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10548.8%49¢	-15560.8%61¢
Novig	-10250.5%50¢	-17463.5%64¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+10449%49¢	-11753.9%54¢	49%

Best O: +13542.6%43¢
Best U: -17063%63¢
Hit rate vs 10.5: 26/41

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 14/20 All 26/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	+13542.6%43¢	-18564.9%65¢
Hard Rock Bet	+12045.5%45¢	-17063%63¢

Best O: +13542.6%43¢
Best U: -18564.9%65¢
Hit rate vs 11.5: 26/41

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 14/20 All 26/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+13542.6%43¢	-18564.9%65¢

Best O: +14540.8%41¢
Best U: -21067.7%68¢
Hit rate vs 12.5: 25/41

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 14/20 All 25/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+14540.8%41¢	-21067.7%68¢

Best O: +16038.5%38¢
Best U: -23069.7%70¢
Hit rate vs 13.5: 24/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 13/20 All 24/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+16038.5%38¢	-23069.7%70¢

Best O: +19434%34¢
Best U: -23370%70¢
Hit rate vs 14.5: 24/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 13/20 All 24/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+17536.4%36¢	-26072.2%72¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+19434%34¢	-23370%70¢	34%

Best O: +19034.5%34¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 15.5: 22/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 12/20 All 22/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+19034.5%34¢	———

Best O: +21032.3%32¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 16.5: 22/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 12/20 All 22/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+21032.3%32¢	———

Best O: +22530.8%31¢
Best U: -35077.8%78¢
Hit rate vs 17.5: 21/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 21/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+22530.8%31¢	-35077.8%78¢

Best O: +25028.6%29¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 18.5: 21/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 21/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+25028.6%29¢	———

Best O: +27226.9%27¢
Best U: -27073%73¢
Hit rate vs 19.5: 19/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 10/20 All 19/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+23330%30¢	-40080%80¢
Rebet	+27226.9%27¢	-27073%73¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+25728%28¢	-30075%75¢	28%

Best O: +30025%25¢
Best U: -52584%84¢
Hit rate vs 21.5: 18/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 10/20 All 18/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+30025%25¢	-52584%84¢

Best O: ———
Best U: -57585.2%85¢
Hit rate vs 22.5: 17/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 10/20 All 17/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-57585.2%85¢

Best O: +31724%24¢
Best U: -56785%85¢
Hit rate vs 24.5: 14/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 3/10 L20 8/20 All 14/41

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+31724%24¢	-56785%85¢	24%

Best O: +41319.5%19¢
Best U: -101191%91¢
Hit rate vs 29.5: 13/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 3/10 L20 7/20 All 13/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+41319.5%19¢	-101191%91¢

Best O: +90010%10¢
Best U: -190095%95¢
Hit rate vs 39.5: 6/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 6/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+70012.5%13¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+90010%10¢	-190095%95¢	10%

Best O: +28333.4%3¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 49.5: 3/41

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 3/41

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+28333.4%3¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+13297%7¢	———	7%

Game log

Most recent first · Receiving Yards

Dawson Knox game log, Receiving Yards
Date	Opp	Receiving Yards	Vs 7.5
Oct 18	@ LVR	0.0	Miss
Oct 12	@ LAR	6.0	Miss
Oct 4	vs NE	13.0	Hit
Sep 27	vs LAC	5.0	Miss
Sep 17	vs DET	5.0	Miss
Sep 13	@ HOU	7.0	Miss
Jan 17	@ DEN	32.0	Hit
Jan 11	@ JAX	30.0	Hit
Jan 4	vs NYJ	24.0	Hit
Dec 28	vs PHI	30.0	Hit