Mack Hollins — Receiving Yards
Projection 41.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (39.5)
Teal bars cleared 39.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards 39.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.5% against 46.1% (an edge of -0.6 points) and is now 29.7% against 32.1% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 9:40 PM | 45.5% | 46.1% | -0.6 |
| Sep 20, 6:10 PM | 29.7% | 32.1% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
9.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 22h ago | |
 ProphetX
|
9.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago | |
| Courtside | 33.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 11m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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