AJ Brown — Receptions
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
AJ Brown Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 58.9% against 57.1% (an edge of 1.8 points) and is now 55.9% against 58.6% (-2.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2:10 PM | 58.9% | 57.1% | 1.8 |
| Oct 17, 2:50 PM | 55.9% | 60.9% | -5 |
| Oct 17, 3:00 PM | 55.9% | 63.0% | -7.1 |
| Oct 17, 3:40 PM | 56.3% | 60.2% | -3.9 |
| Oct 17, 12:21 PM | 55.9% | 58.6% | -2.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 Hard Rock Bet
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 31m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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