Projection 7.6
Last 9 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)
Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 4 of 9 (44%).
Velus Jones Rushing Yards 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 51.2% (an edge of -1.2 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.2% (-1.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 9:44 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 19m ago | ||
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9.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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