Ty Johnson — Rushing Yards
Projection 5.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Ty Johnson Rushing Yards 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.5% against 52.6% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 50.4% against 52.5% (-2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 5:20 PM | 49.5% | 52.6% | -3.1 |
| Oct 2, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 3, 1:40 AM | 49.4% | 51.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 3, 3:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 3, 3:10 AM | 49.4% | 50.8% | -1.4 |
| Oct 3, 5:40 AM | 50.3% | 52.6% | -2.3 |
| Oct 3, 5:50 AM | 50.4% | 52.5% | -2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 4.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 12h ago | |
 DraftKings
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 12h ago | ||
 FanDuel
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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