Aaron Jones
RB · MIN · team page
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Rushing Yards
Line
o/u 29.5
Over at o/u 29.5
Polymarket
Under at o/u 29.5
Polymarket
- Projection
- 28.8 yds
- Consensus
- -11954.3%54¢
- Range
- 14.5–89.5
Where to bet
28 lines · every venue we track
Novig
EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 9/10 · All 29/36
Novig
EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 1/10 · All 7/36
Tick marks the line most venues quote.
- Best O
- ———
- Best U
- +30025%25¢
- Hit rate vs 14.5
- 35/36
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 19/20 All 35/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
 Hard Rock Bet
|
——— | +30025%25¢ |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
|
——— | +22331%31¢ |
- Best O
- ———
- Best U
- +25028.6%29¢
- Hit rate vs 16.5
- 34/36
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 18/20 All 34/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
——— | +25028.6%29¢ |
- Best O
- -24571%71¢
- Best U
- +25728%28¢
- Hit rate vs 19.5
- 34/36
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 18/20 All 34/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
——— | +19034.5%34¢ |
| Rebet | ——— | +25728%28¢ |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
-24571%71¢ | +18635%35¢ | 71% |
- Best O
- ———
- Best U
- +17536.4%36¢
- Hit rate vs 20.5
- 34/36
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 18/20 All 34/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
——— | +17536.4%36¢ |
- Best O
- -23069.7%70¢
- Best U
- +16038.5%38¢
- Hit rate vs 21.5
- 34/36
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 18/20 All 34/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
-23069.7%70¢ | +16038.5%38¢ |
- Best O
- ———
- Best U
- +14540.8%41¢
- Hit rate vs 22.5
- 33/36
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 18/20 All 33/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
——— | +14540.8%41¢ |
- Best O
- -16362%62¢
- Best U
- +11746.1%46¢
- Hit rate vs 24.5
- 31/36
L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 16/20 All 31/36
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
-16362%62¢ | +11746.1%46¢ | 62% |
- Best O
- ———
- Best U
- +10050%50¢
- Hit rate vs 27.5
- 30/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 15/20 All 30/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
——— | +10050%50¢ |
- Best O
- -11854.1%54¢
- Best U
- -11353.1%53¢
- Hit rate vs 28.5
- 30/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 15/20 All 30/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
 BetRivers
|
-11854.1%54¢ | -11353.1%53¢ |
- Best O
- -10050%50¢
- Best U
- -10851.9%52¢
- Hit rate vs 29.5
- 29/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 15/20 All 29/36
Sportsbooks
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
-10451%51¢ | -10851.9%52¢ | 51% |
|
Polymarket
|
-10050%50¢ | -10851.9%52¢ | 50% |
- Best O
- +10050%50¢
- Best U
- -12555.6%56¢
- Hit rate vs 30.5
- 29/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 15/20 All 29/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
+10050%50¢ | -13557.4%57¢ |
| Fliff | -11553.5%53¢ | -12555.6%56¢ |
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
-11052.4%52¢ | ——— |
- Best O
- +10050%50¢
- Best U
- ———
- Hit rate vs 31.5
- 29/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 15/20 All 29/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+10050%50¢ | ——— |
- Best O
- +11047.6%48¢
- Best U
- -15560.8%61¢
- Hit rate vs 33.5
- 28/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 15/20 All 28/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+11047.6%48¢ | -15560.8%61¢ |
- Best O
- +12045.5%45¢
- Best U
- -16562.3%62¢
- Hit rate vs 34.5
- 27/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 14/20 All 27/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+12045.5%45¢ | -16562.3%62¢ |
- Best O
- +13043.5%43¢
- Best U
- ———
- Hit rate vs 35.5
- 27/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 14/20 All 27/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+13043.5%43¢ | ——— |
- Best O
- +13542.6%43¢
- Best U
- -19065.5%66¢
- Hit rate vs 36.5
- 27/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 14/20 All 27/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+13542.6%43¢ | -19065.5%66¢ |
- Best O
- +14540.8%41¢
- Best U
- -20066.7%67¢
- Hit rate vs 37.5
- 27/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 14/20 All 27/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+14540.8%41¢ | -20066.7%67¢ |
- Best O
- +15539.2%39¢
- Best U
- -22068.8%69¢
- Hit rate vs 38.5
- 27/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 14/20 All 27/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+15539.2%39¢ | -22068.8%69¢ |
- Best O
- +22430.9%31¢
- Best U
- -22268.9%69¢
- Hit rate vs 39.5
- 26/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 14/20 All 26/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+16537.7%38¢ | ——— |
| Rebet | +22430.9%31¢ | -22268.9%69¢ |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
+20333%33¢ | -25772%72¢ | 33% |
|
Polymarket
|
+19434%34¢ | -27073%73¢ | 34% |
- Best O
- +17536.4%36¢
- Best U
- -25071.4%71¢
- Hit rate vs 40.5
- 25/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 13/20 All 25/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+17536.4%36¢ | -25071.4%71¢ |
- Best O
- +18535.1%35¢
- Best U
- ———
- Hit rate vs 41.5
- 24/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 12/20 All 24/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+18535.1%35¢ | ——— |
- Best O
- +19533.9%34¢
- Best U
- -30075%75¢
- Hit rate vs 42.5
- 24/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 12/20 All 24/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+19533.9%34¢ | -30075%75¢ |
- Best O
- +22031.3%31¢
- Best U
- ———
- Hit rate vs 44.5
- 24/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 12/20 All 24/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
|
Hard Rock Bet
|
+22031.3%31¢ | ——— |
- Best O
- +42019.2%19¢
- Best U
- -41780.7%81¢
- Hit rate vs 49.5
- 20/36
L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 9/20 All 20/36
Sportsbooks
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
+35522%22¢ | -45682%82¢ | 22% |
|
Polymarket
|
——— | -52584%84¢ |
- Best O
- +77011.5%11¢
- Best U
- -76988.5%88¢
- Hit rate vs 59.5
- 17/36
L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 7/20 All 17/36
Sportsbooks
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
+66913%13¢ | -101191%91¢ | 13% |
|
Polymarket
|
+73312%12¢ | -101191%91¢ | 12% |
- Best O
- +14466.5%6¢
- Best U
- -142993.5%93¢
- Hit rate vs 69.5
- 15/36
L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 7/20 All 15/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rebet | +14466.5%6¢ | -142993.5%93¢ |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
+10119%9¢ | -190095%95¢ | 9% |
|
Polymarket
|
+10119%9¢ | -190095%95¢ | 9% |
- Best O
- +25323.8%4¢
- Best U
- -990099%99¢
- Hit rate vs 79.5
- 11/36
L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 4/10 L20 4/20 All 11/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rebet | +25323.8%4¢ | ——— |
Prediction Markets
| Venue | Over | Under | Implied % |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
|
——— | -990099%99¢ |
- Best O
- +41922.3%2¢
- Best U
- ———
- Hit rate vs 89.5
- 8/36
L3 2/3 L5 3/5 L10 3/10 L20 3/20 All 8/36
Sportsbooks
| Venue | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rebet | +41922.3%2¢ | ——— |
Game log
Most recent first · Rushing Yards
| Date | Opp | Rushing Yards | Vs 29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vs IND | 26.0 | Miss |
| Oct 11 | @ NO | 113.0 | Hit |
| Oct 4 | vs MIA | 94.0 | Hit |
| Sep 27 | @ TB | 58.0 | Hit |
| Sep 20 | @ CHI | 105.0 | Hit |
| Sep 13 | vs GB | 40.0 | Hit |
| Dec 25 | vs DET | 53.0 | Hit |
| Dec 21 | @ NYG | 85.0 | Hit |
| Dec 14 | @ DAL | 34.0 | Hit |
| Dec 7 | vs WAS | 76.0 | Hit |
Latest updates
-
Jones (knee) was limited at Thursday's practice.
2 days agoBallDontLie
-
Jones (knee) is participating in Thursday's practice, Kevin Seifert of ESPN.com reports.
2 days agoBallDontLie
-
Head coach Kevin O'Connell said Jones (knee) won't practice Wednesday, Alec Lewis of The Athletic reports.
3 days agoBallDontLie
-
The left knee injury that forced Jones out of Sunday's 16-10 win over the Colts isn't considered significant, and the running back is viewed as day-to-day, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
5 days agoBallDontLie
-
Head coach Kevin O'Connell said Jones aggravated a previous knee injury during Sunday's 16-10 win against the Colts, Ben Goessling of the Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
6 days agoBallDontLie