Projection 79.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (79.5)
Teal bars cleared 79.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards 79.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.5% against 53.1% (an edge of -1.6 points) and is now 50.0% against 50.7% (-0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 3:10 AM | 51.5% | 53.1% | -1.6 |
| Sep 18, 1:10 PM | 51.9% | 53.9% | -2 |
| Sep 19, 8:30 AM | 51.5% | 53.9% | -2.4 |
| Sep 20, 5:10 PM | 50.6% | 55.0% | -4.4 |
| Sep 20, 5:20 PM | 45.4% | 43.5% | 1.9 |
| Sep 20, 5:40 PM | 40.5% | 42.0% | -1.5 |
| Sep 20, 5:50 PM | 34.9% | 32.1% | 2.8 |
| Sep 20, 6:00 PM | 35.3% | 25.0% | 10.3 |
| Sep 20, 7:20 PM | 50.0% | 46.1% | 3.9 |
| Sep 21, 8:00 PM | 49.6% | 54.1% | -4.5 |
| Sep 21, 8:10 PM | 50.0% | 55.2% | -5.2 |
| Sep 22, 3:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Sep 22, 8:30 PM | 50.0% | 50.7% | -0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 38m ago | ||
| Parlayplay | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 38m ago | ||
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24.5 | Hard Rock Bet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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