Jameis Winston — Rushing Yards

Projection 5.8

+0.5pp vs fair: ProphetX prices the over at -10451%51¢ against Thescorebet's -10551.2%51¢ .

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)

Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 51.9% (an edge of -2.9 points) and is now 48.0% against 51.5% (-3.5 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time	Book consensus, de-vigged	Prediction market	Edge in percentage points
Oct 7, 7:20 PM	49.0%	51.9%	-2.9
Oct 7, 9:10 PM	51.8%	54.1%	-2.3
Oct 7, 10:40 PM	49.2%	51.0%	-1.8
Oct 8, 8:00 PM	50.0%	51.0%	-1
Oct 8, 8:10 PM	50.0%	51.0%	-1
Oct 9, 4:30 PM	51.3%	51.0%	0.3
Oct 10, 4:40 PM	48.7%	50.5%	-1.8
Oct 10, 4:50 PM	48.7%	51.1%	-2.4
Oct 10, 5:00 PM	50.2%	51.3%	-1.1
Oct 10, 5:10 PM	51.5%	50.9%	0.6
Oct 10, 5:30 PM	48.0%	51.5%	-3.5

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Jameis Winston Rushing Yards
Venue	Line	Over	Under	Vs best	Age
Bovada	2.5	-110 52.4%	-120 54.5%	Premium to see the gap to the best price	Bovada last repriced this 3h ago
Courtside	2.5	-106 51.5%	-118 54.1%	Premium to see the gap to the best price	Courtside last repriced this 3h ago
ProphetX	4.5	+144 41%	— ProphetX does not price the under	Premium to see the gap to the best price	ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 2 hours ago.